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49ers Bengals Odds

The Cincinnati Bengals and San Francisco 49ers square off Sunday in week 3 action at 1:00 EST. The 49ers have won eight of their last 11 regular-season meetings with the Bengals, and two of their five Super Bowl victories have come against this franchise. They last met in 2007, which resulted in a 20-13 home victory by San Francisco. The 49ers have lost five straight road games against AFC foes.

Taking a look at the week 3 NFL odds, I find the Bengals as a 2.5-point home favorite with a total set of 40.5 points.

Cincinnati

The Bengals have only had two winning seasons since 1990. If they are going to win more consistently in the near future, a pair of rookies in 2011 are going to be a big reason why. Cincinnati won the AFC North with a 10-6 record two years ago, but dropped to 4-12 last season. That allowed them to get wide receiver A.J. Green with their No. 4 overall pick, and then quarterback Andy Dalton early in the second round. These two have arguably been their best players to this point in the season.

Dalton suffered a wrist injury in their 27-17 victory over Cleveland in week 1, but came back last week to throw for 332 yards and a pair of touchdown passes after halftime. He nearly led them back from a 17-3 deficit early in the third quarter, but the Bengals would fall 24-22. On his first career reception in the NFL, Green caught a 41-yard touchdown against the Browns. Green had a monster game last week, catching 10 balls for 124 yards and a score.

For the season, Dalton has completed 66.1 percent of his passes for 413 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions to lead his team to a 1-1 start. Cedric Benson has been solid on the ground, rushing 41 times for 180 yards and a score. Jordan Shipley is out for the season after suffering a torn ACL last Sunday, but Andre Caldwell appears ready to take his place. Caldwell had a 10-yard touchdown grab last week against the Broncos.

San Francisco

The 49ers took care of business in their opener with a 33-17 victory over the Seattle Seahawks. They could easily be 2-0 right now if not for a 10-point blown lead late last week against the Dallas Cowboys. San Francisco held a 24-14 lead midway through the fourth quarter, but Dallas would go on to score the game’s final 13 points to win 27-24 in overtime. First-year head coach Jim Harbaugh has a couple decisions that led to the loss that he may have liked to take back.

Harbaugh had a chance to take a free first down in the fourth quarter, but instead didn’t want to take points off of the board, so he elected to take the three points from a David Akers’ field goal. San Francisco could have milked more clock, perhaps even scored a touchdown. He also elected to punt in overtime on a 4th-and-1 after calling timeout to think about the decision. The Cowboys scored only a few plays later to seal the victory.

Alex Smith has been a bright spot for the 49ers, completing 70.5 percent of his passes for 303 yards and two touchdowns to one interception. They really need to get Frank Gore going on the ground, though. Gore has rushed 42 times for 106 yards and a touchdown while averaging just 2.5/carry. That is the second-lowest mark among 18 running backs with at least 30 carries. Braylon Edwards is going to have to miss some time after needing surgery on his injured right knee. After sitting out last week with a foot injury, Michael Crabtree is expected to return to action against the Bengals, which would help make up for the loss of Edwards.

Betting Trends

The 49ers dropped 0-7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 after last week’s loss to the Cowboys. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss, and 11-4-3 ATS in their last 18 games following an ATS loss.

The Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games during week 3. Cincinnati is just 6-21 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite, though.

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