Baseball Betting: Handicapping the 2009 Season
Written March 31, 2009 by Tony George
Spring training is underway and even though the Final Four has yet to be played it’s time to start thinking about the upcoming 2009 MLB season. In 2008, Tony George recorded his third straight season with over 60% winners on the money line. He preaches money management and his baseball picks are never are on teams laying over -160. The problem that some clients have is that Tony keeps his action limited and last year he played his first game just a few weeks before the All-Star break. However, that is why Tony thinks his methods pay off in the long term, patients. Here are four handicapping tips for the 2009 season that will have you winning some money and building your bankroll. Remember, if you want a dime line sportsbook for this summer, Sportsbook.com has some of the easiest deposit methods in the industry!
Less is More – Tony believes that the best way to win is to single out the best game in the MLB, NBA, and college basketball. This is especially important when betting money lines with professional teams. These players are all talented or else they wouldn’t be in the big leagues so you simply can’t lay -250 with the Yankees against the Royals and expect to win every time as it just doesn’t happen. Find the best bet on the board every day and make that your wager. There are not many amateur gamblers out there who can sustain a long losing streak if they are doing MLB betting every game on the board.
Never Lay Big Numbers – Tony sticks to the rule of never laying more than -160. If you think a team is going to win and they are listed at -200, then consider taking the run line instead. Most amateur gamblers start falling in love with these heavy favorites, but there is no quicker way to drain your bankroll. It takes more work and experience to break down the baseball lines on the underdogs, totals, and short favorites, but that is where the money is.
Wait a Month Before Starting – Wait for teams to settle into their own and give pitchers a chance to take the mound a few times before trying to predict their performances. This way you can see some trends starting to devlope and also you’ll notice how the chemistry is between the players on the club. There is still some NBA betting to be done during the month of April and even into May and June, so patients is the key here.
There is More than Just Starting Pitching – Tony factors starting pitching into about 40% of his handicapping equation and believes that most people rely way too much on the starter. There are plenty of other factors that determine the winner of the game such as on-base percentage, slugging, depth and ERA of the bullpen, and scheduling.
In conclusion, look for reasons to take the underdogs and short money line favorites as well as totals. It’s important to have more than one sportsbook during the baseball season as you can save real money. Why bet a game at -127 when you can lay -115 somewhere else? That just doesn’t make sense.
If you liked this article, you may also be interested in:
- Beginner’s Guide to Handicapping Baseball
- Best Sportsbook for Betting Baseball
- Baseball Betting: Padres at Brewers Odds
- Odds on 2009 MLB Season
- 2009 AL Season Win Totals & MLB Odds
Got something to say?
- Betting on Baseball
- Baseball Betting Lines
- World Series Odds
- Understanding MLB Run Lines
- Baseball Money Lines Explained
- Baseball Betting Forum
- MLB Gambling
- Baseball Sportsbooks
- How to Bet Baseball
- Dime Line Sportsbooks
- World Series Betting
No comments yet, but your thoughts are welcome!