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Bills Giants Spread

The Buffalo Bills continue to prove that they are for real. They’ll certainly be tested again this week against a New York Giants team that has to be hungry following a bad home loss last week. Buffalo travels to face the Giants at MetLife Stadium at 1:00 EST Sunday in Week 6 in a non-conference showdown. The Bills and Giants have only squared off twice since the turn of the century. New York won the most recent meeting 38-21 in Buffalo in 2007. That has been a common theme considering the road team has won each of the last four meetings in this series.

Odds makers have set a spread of New York -3 over Buffalo with a total set of 50 points.

New York

The Giants appeared to have righted the ship after a season-opening 28-14 loss at Washington. New York (3-2, 1-1 home) reeled off three straight victories, including two road wins at Philadelphia and Arizona the next three weeks. It seemed like a foregone conclusion that they would top Seattle at home last week, but that wasn’t the case. The Seahawks stole a 36-25 win from New York thanks to a 94-yard interception return for a touchdown from Brandon Browner with just 1:08 remaining to seal the game.

Victor Cruz had a monster day for New York, catching eight balls for a career high 161 yards and a touchdown. But he tried a one-handed grab near the goal line, which was deflected into Browner’s hands and the rest was history. New York ranks 13th in total offense (359.2 yards/game), but they are just 28th in rushing (83.8 yards/game). The Giants were without Brandon Jacobs last week, and he remains questionable Sunday.

Eli Manning has had a solid season to this point, completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 1,486 yards with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions. Hakeem Nicks is off to a great start as well, catching 28 balls for 412 yards and three scores. The Giants have had problems stopping people, as they rank just 20th in total defense (373.4 yards/game). Not helping matters has been key injuries to starters all over their defense. Justin Tuck is questionable with a groin injury after missing last week, and Osi Umenyiora is also listed as questionable with a knee ailment. They could be getting a boost with the possible debut of cornerback Prince Amukamara, who is questionable with a foot injury.

Buffalo

The Bills have been an excellent story to this point. Buffalo (4-1, 1-1 away) opened the season with three straight victories, including massive comeback wins over both the Oakland Raiders and New England Patriots. They suffered a hiccup at Cincinnati in Week 4, but rebounded nicely last Sunday with a 31-24 triumph over Philadelphia. They did give up 489 total yards to the Eagles, but forced five turnovers which proved to be the difference in the end. The Bills picked off Michael Vick four times, and linebacker Nick Barnett returned his interception 31 yards for a touchdown.

Buffalo has been one of the worst defensive teams in the league, but they are +10 in turnovers which has made up for it. The Bills rank 30th in total defense (421.8 yards/game), including 27th against the run (138.4 yards/game) and 25th against the pass (283.4 yards/game). Their offense has been picking up the slack. Buffalo ranks 11th in total offense (379.4 yards/game).

Ryan Fitzpatrick is completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 1,233 yards and 10 touchdowns to four interceptions. He is spreading the ball around nicely, as five different receivers have double-digit receptions. Steven Johnson leads the way with 28 grabs for 343 yards and three touchdowns. Fred Jackson is second in the league in rushing with 480 yards and three touchdowns. He also has 19 catches for 232 yards out of the backfield, and leads the NFL in yards from scrimmage (712).

Betting Trends

The Bills are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog, but just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a dog of 3.0 points or less. They are also 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. win.

The Giants are in their favorite month right now, going 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games in October. They are also 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home. However, New York is just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite, and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 3.0 or less.