Free NBA Picks: Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Wizards
Written by Jack Jones - Google +
The Milwaukee Bucks will head out on the road tonight to take on the Washington Wizards for a scheduled tip-off time of 7:00 P.M. ET. The NBA odds on this game has Washington as a 1 point home underdog while the total opened at 186.5 and now has moved to 187 at most books.
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Milwaukee (20-30) enters tonight’s matchup coming off an 18 point home win last night as a 7 point favorite against the Toronto Raptors in which we saw this game end under the posted total of 193.5. The Bucks this year are averaging 91.9 points per game away from home while they are allowing 95.4 points per game. Milwaukee has seen four of their last five games go under the posted total on 0 days rest. In those five games the Bucks have averaged just 93.6 points per game while allowing just 92.8 points per game. Milwaukee has seen four of their last five games stay under the posted total against teams with that are below .500. The under is 17-5 in Milwaukee’s last 22 games as a favorite.
Washington (13-37) enters this matchup tonight on an eight game losing streak in which they have gone just 2-6 ATS in those games and saw four of those eight games stay under the posted total. In those eight games they had four totals posted under 200 and saw three of those four stay under the total. Washington averages 98.2 points per game at home and allows 98 points per game on defense at home. Washington has seen 18 out of their 25 games stay under the posted total at home this year. The Wizards have seen 17 of the last 22 games stay under the total after a SU loss. The under is 4-0 in the Wizards last four games as an underdog. The under is 11-3 in the Wizards last 14 homes games against a team with a losing road record.
I do not understand why this total line is so high. Milwaukee is a team that ranks in the bottom 10 in possessions per game on the road while Washington ranks in the top 10 in possessions at home. Something has to give between these two. The problem though for Washington is that they have seen 8 of their 9 games at home this year against teams that rank in the bottom 10 of possessions on the road stay under the total. The Wizards are only averaging 91.3 points per game in those 9 games and allow 89.2 points per game. I really feel the books have this total wrong. Let’s play the under in this game and cash another winning free play ticket.
Free Pick: Bucks/Wizards UNDER 187
I hit another one of my free plays last night with Evansville getting us the win which now moves me to 4-1 the last five free plays. I am looking to keep that going tonight with on of my free NBA picks the total on the Milwaukee and Washington game.
Don’t forget to jump on board with Mike’s NBA Top Play Underdog today. Mike Cortright is looking to stay hot with his free plays and his paid plays after hitting his College Basketball Total of the week last night.
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