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College Bowl Handicapping – Intangibles

Written May 21, 2008 by Jack Jones

Our college bowl handicapping series continues with a guide to the football intangibles that come into play. You can’t leave out any factors when you are trying to make a solid run to end the college football season, and we want to make sure we give you all the tips to make this post-season one to remember.

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COACHING

This is pretty basic since it’s an important factor in regular season handicapping as well. The added deal here is that the coach has to prepare after an extended layoff, add some new plays to the mix, and maybe face an offense or defense that the team is not used to seeing.

A bigger factor is the coaching changes that takes place during the layoff and not only with the head coaches but with top assistants. Keep tabs on who is going to remain with the team and who is bolting off for greener pastures. Sometimes teams will be motivated to send their guy out with a win or they’ll roll over due to worrying about the new coach coming in and what their role might be.

INJURIES & SUSPENSIONS

The layoff can be critical, and some teams will get as little as two weeks while other teams have as many as six between their last regular season game and their bowl game. During this time injuries will heal, new injuries will emerge, players will be suspended, and so on. You have to know who is going to be in the lineup and whether there is a reliable backup to that player on the roster.

PROGRAM

Take not of the school’s performance during the season, noting the good and the bad. A good spot is to take an underdog from a power conference before New Year’s, especially if the team feels like they are getting slighted. There are teams that get some bad breaks and lose some close games, finding themselves an underdog to a team that they are more talented than. Look for strength of schedule, conference power ratings, and how the team has done on an individual level.

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