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Free NFL Picks: Dallas Cowboys at Kansas City Chiefs


Written October 11, 2009 by Jack Jones

The Cowboys and Chiefs could both use a win this week, and one of them will walk away with a “W” as the Cowboys make the trip to Kansas City.  The NFL odds show that the Cowboys are 7 point road favorites, while the total for the game is set for 42.5 points.  Here’s a free opinion on the game and a look a the top available premium package.

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Our #1 overall NFL handicapper, the Black Widow, has offered this free pick on this afternoon’s game:

1* on Kansas City Chiefs +9

The Kansas City Chiefs may be winless on the season, but they hung tough in a 27-16 loss to the New York Giants last week. It’s clear at this point that the Dallas Cowboys are not the team everyone expected they’d be. Dallas already has 2 losses this season, both as favorites to the Giants and to the Broncos on the road last week. Dallas is certainly overrated right now. They don’t have the same explosive offense because Tony Romo doesn’t have any proven targets at wide receiver that can get the job done consistently. Now WR Roy Williams is questionable Sunday with a rib injury suffered in their loss to the Broncos, and even if he goes he won’t be effective. Williams only has 10 catches for 196 yards this season, averaging less than 50 yards/game. The Cowboys are also suffering key injuries on defense. Starting SS Gerald Sensebaugh is out with a thumb injury, and NT Jeremiah Ratliff is questionable with a back injury. Not to mention C Andre Gurode is questionable with a knee injury on offense, and he’s perhaps the Cowboys’ most important offensive lineman having to make all the calls. Dallas is in no shape to go out and beat the Chiefs by double-digits on the road Sunday. The Cowboys are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games overall. Dallas is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992. The Chiefs are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The books are sleeping on Kansas City this week and giving the Cowboys too much respect. We’ll take advantage. Take the Chiefs and the points.

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