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Dolphins at Jaguars NFL Spread

Written December 11, 2009 by Kyle Hunter

The Miami Dolphins and the Jacksonville Jaguars have both flown under the radar a little more than most teams in the playoff race, but both of them are positioned where they could certainly make it to the postseason. Jacksonville is currently in, while Miami is on the outside looking in, but this game is a great chance for the Dolphins to make a statement. Which team will step up and win this battle that could prove decisive to the playoff race? Get an extra $100 to bet on football when you sign up at Bodog and deposit at least $100.

The Miami Dolphins pulled off a huge come from behind victory last weekend against the Patriots, winning 22-21. The Dolphins started slowly, but have been on a nice run of late to get back into the playoff picture. Ronnie Brown is out for the year, but Ricky Williams is doing a very good job in his place. Williams is averaging a very impressive 5 yards per carry and has 9 touchdowns on the season. The wildcat is effective as ever, as the Dolphins are 4th in the NFL in rushing yards per game. Chad Henne has come onto the scene for Miami since Chad Pennington went down and Henne has done a solid job at quarterback. Though this is Henne’s first starting job, he has engineered a couple very nice fourth quarter comebacks and has shown great maturity. The Dolphins defense has been a bit of a weakness this year, especially against good passing teams. The Dolphins are giving up 246 yards per game through the air and 25 points per game.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are a tough team to figure out. Just as everyone is about to give up on them they play great, but just when you think they have turned the corner for good, they play terribly. Jacksonville was trashed 41-0 in Seattle earlier this year, but they have gone 5-2 since then and now sit in a good position. The Jaguars have been finding ways to win close games of late, which has put them in this position. Maurice Jones-Drew is the star of the offense, averaging 4.6 yards per carry on the season. He also has 13 touchdowns and 42 receptions out of the backfield. Jones-Drew is one of the best dual-threat running backs in the league. David Garrard stats won’t wow you, but he has thrown only 6 interceptions and keeps plays alive with his feet quite often. Mike Sims-Walker has stepped up and solidified the #1 wide receiver spot on the year, which has helped open up the passing game. The Jaguars defense is allowing 23 points per game and 346 total yards per game.

The NFL betting lines for this weekend show the Jaguars as 2.5 point home favorites in this one. The posted total is set at 44 points. When making NFL predictions for this particular game remember that the Jaguars are just 3-11 against the spread in their last 14 home games, while Miami is 9-4 against the spread in their last 14 road games.

This should be a battle of very good running games. Will it be Ricky Williams or Maurice Jones-Drew who gets the upper hand? If one defense can stop the run and make the opponent throw the ball consistently they will likely win this one.

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