2011 FedEx 400 Predictions
Written by Steve Janus - Google +
Last week at the Showtime Southern 500 Regan Smith pulled off a huge upset for his first Spring Cup win of his career. It was his first finish inside the top this season since finishing seventh at the Daytona 500. Even with the win, Smith still sits in 27th place in the points standings.
This week the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series heads to Dover, Delaware for the 2011 FedEX 400 at Dover International Speedway.
Kyle Bush took home the checkered flag at Dover last year. The second time he has won here in the last three years. Busch also comes into the race with a lot of tension flying between him and Kevin Harvick. The two got at it last week, and it doesn’t appear likely that feud will end anytime soon.
For those of you who are looking to do a little betting on the race this week, here is a look at the three drivers who I feel have the best shot at making their way to victory lane.
Jimmie Johnson (+500) – While a lot of the focus will be on Busch and the No. 18 car, I believe the driver to beat this week is Jimmie Johnson and the No. 48. Johnson has six career wins and eight top five finishes at Dover. Three of those wins have came in his last four starts. He won the spring event at Dover in 2009, and has won each of the last two fall races at Dover. He’s only finished outside of the top seven once at Dover since 2007. Odds are Johnson will be in the mix down the stretch, and with his history and Busch dueling with Harvick, he is easily my favorite to win.
Carl Edwards (+800) – Edwards comes into the race this weekend leading the way in the points standings. Edwards has finished in the top 10 eight times in the 10 races so far this season, including a second place finish last week at the Showtime Southern 500. He does have just one win on the season and only one career win at Dover, but the way this guy is driving the No. 99 car, he is a legit threat to win any time he steps on the track. While he has just the one win at Dover, he’s finished in the top 10 in eight of his last nine starts on this track.
Matt Kenseth (+2000) – My final pick this week goes on a bit of an underdog when it comes to the odds to win this race. Kenseth won this even back in 2006, and while it’s his only career win at Dover, he has 10 top 10 finishes at this track. He hasn’t finished worse than seventh at the spring race in Dover, and only once in his last five starts on this track has he finished worse than fourth. I really like his chances of being right there with a chance to steal a win late, and with these kind of odds its hard to pass him up.
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