The Standard: 200 units
Yesterday: 1-4, -13.1 units
Currently: -69.5 units
Units remaining: 269.5
-Winning 12 of 20 days of plays in July(54-47-3,+50.5 units)
-Totals are 28-25-4 last 57
7/24/09
$200 Chisox/Detroit OVER 8.5 GM 1
$200 STL/Philly UNDER 9
$200 PIT/ARZ OVER 9
$200 Pittsburgh +105
$500 NY Mets -125
$1000 Chicago Cubs -160
$1500 Boston -150
The Standard: 200 units
Yesterday: 4-2-1, +20.65 units
Currently: -48.85 units
Units remaining: 248.85
-Winning 13 of 21 days of plays in July(58-49-4,+71.15 units)
-Totals are 29-26-5 last 60
7/25/09
I stated that the last 2 days were huge. Overall profit over those 2 days, as I am coming up on 5 weeks left. A lot of units in 5 weeks based on 1-5* primarily, but already 70+ units in July and nowhere near done. Still a good week left in the month. Hoping to top 100 units for the month of July. Pretty lite card today moneywise.
$300 Atlanta/Milwaukee UNDER 8
Hanson sets to face Gallardo. Braves have only scored 4 total runs in Gallardo's previous 2 outings against them. In the last they were shut-out. Hanson has been exceptional but had problems with the Brewers. This time around he will pitch better keeping this one under the low 8 run total. Braves and Brewers have played 15 of their last 22 in Milwaukee to the under. Over hit last night, look for a low scoring one tonight.
$200 Boston -1.5(+100)
Baltimore got me a huge winner last night fading. They are 6 and 28 in the last 34 in Boston. I had a double angled play on that game last night. Tonight we go with the numbers as this should be a blow-out. Guthrie allowed 5 ERs this year in Boston as the Sox put up 10 total. In fact the Sox have scored an average of 8 runs in Guthrie's last 4 in Boston. Look for the offense to come alive tonight. Lester and the Sox pitching staff have only allowed 7 total runs in his last 4 at home vs. Balt. Look for a Sox win by 4-6 runs tonight.
$200 San Fran/Colorado UNDER 9
De La Rosa has been one of the most solid home pitchers this season. For the fact he pitches in Colorado is history within itself. Jorge has a 1.69 ERA over his last 3 and is 3-0 over those 3 starts. He has succeeded against the Giants at home and should handle their slumping line-up tonight. Sanchez makes a good case for the game's under as well, as 9 or 9.5 runs, what ever you got will make for an easy win. Rocks 4-2.
$200 Minnesota/LA Angels OVER 9.5
I look at this total like many others and say wow, you kidding? Blackburn and Palmer, Twins and Angels with good relief have a total at 9.5 rising to 10? Yes indeed, and I will tell you why. Diving into the numbers we see both starters have struggled in their last 3 starts each. The Angels put up 9 in a Blackburn start this year and 7 last year. Angels should finish with at least 6 in this contest. Palmer counters, and although he has never faced the Twins, his home numbers aren't pleasant. He is 4-1 at home on the year for the fact the Angels put up runs for him. Minny should get at least 4-5 in this one but I easily see a 6-5 or 7-5 final here making a great over play.
$200 Tampa/Toronto OVER 9
Teams that usually play many unders, but today will go over the total of 9 runs. Price is 0-3 on the road with a 6.94 ERA. He has a 7.42 ERA over his last 3. Tallet likewise has a 8.40 ERA in his last 3 and a 4.81 at home this year. A couple weeks ago Tallet allowed 8 runs in Tampa as the Jays lost 10-9. Don't expect that many runs but I would look for 10 or more to come out rather easily in this one as both starters would need great outings for it not to happen.
Nice Picks!!! All but the Rockie game by one run. Congrats!!
The Standard: 200 units
Yesterday: 4-1, +6.80 units
Currently: -42.05 units
Units remaining: 242.05
-Winning 14 of 22 days of plays in July(62-50-4,+77.95 units)
-Totals are 32-27-5 last 64
7/26/09
$1000 Tampa Bay -110
$300 Seattle +125
$300 Detroit -135
$200 Oakland +155
$200 Philly -155
$200 Chisox/Detroit OVER 9.5
$200 Min/LAA UNDER 10
$200 TB/Tor UNDER 9
good luck!
The Standard: 200 units
Yesterday: 2-6, -20.45 units
Currently: -62.50 units
Units remaining: 262.50
-Winning 14 of 23 days of plays in July(64-56-4,+57.50 units)
-Totals are 33-29-5 last 67
7/27/09
$500 San Diego +155
$200 SD/Cincy OVER 9.5
Reds have lost 12 of 15 including 6 straight. Bailey will face Geer. The Reds are a woeful club right now, and to be favored with Bailey is no guarantee win either. He holds a 7.94 ERA at home and in his last 3 starts shows an 0-2 mark with a near 10.00 ERA. Bailey has not done much good as a starter with this club. His team has a 1-5 record this season with him starting and the Reds went 1-8 last season in his starts last year. That totals 2-13 in 15 Bailey starts. Laying the money on the slumping Reds could be killer tonight. As for Geer, he has not done great either but comes off a 2 ER outing vs. FLA. Not a great story for Geer but I think he will do a better job than Bailey. Pads hold the bullpen edge and should win this one. Look for a 15 run output by these clubs tonight.
$500 Houston +145
This is a nice bet on a division series dog in game 1 with Wandy Rod facing Zambrano. The Cubs and Astros always play gritty games coming down to the final at bat. Big Z has not had success in games against Houston. He has pitched well vs. Hou but he and the Cubbies are only 2-3 in his last 5 against this club. In fact, Wandy and Houston have won their last 5 of 6 with him on the hill. I look for a 4-3 ballgame but go with Wandy and Houston tonight. Wandy has a 0.41 ERA over his last 3, and I expect this domination to continue tonight.
$500 Toronto +170
Anytime a team like Toronto is getting a heavy amount of money against a weaker club makes for a great bet. The jays have Romero battling Hernandez tonight and this one will be about more than just starting pitching. The Jays have won 6 of the last 8 Romero starts, while King Felix and the Ms have won 8 straight and 9 of his last 10 starts. The key in this game is that Seattle comes off being swept at home and now face a tougher Jays club who are off a win. Look for the bullpens to have a major effect on the outcome of this one. Jays by a run.
$200 San Fran -1.5(+100)
This is a re-match from last meeting when the Pirates took a 2-1 final in extras. Both starters Maholm and Lincecum pitched extremely well. This time around, SF will get some revenge. Lincecum is in the zone right now while the same can not really be said for Maholm on the road. Maholm has an ERA on the road nearly doubled to Lincecum at home. Maholm also comes off a rough 7 ER allowed output in his last start and should see some struggles on the road in this game. Heavy juice so we roll run-line as the Giants should win this one by 3 or more.
$200 Det/Tex UNDER 9.5
No reason why this one should see close to an over. Galarraga has been brilliant of late pitching to a 2.66 ERA over his last 3. Tommy Hunter has been exceptional going 2-0 in his last 3 with a 1.04 ERA. He has a 2.17 ERA this year, a complete turn around from last season. Texas has been an under team all season especially at home. Currently they have a 60-32-4 mark to the under. Hunter is 5-0 to the under this year and Galarraga has only allowed 4 ERs in 13 innings previously facing Texas. Look for a 4-2 final.
$200 Chisox/Minny OVER 9
Last season these teams went on an over tear going 7 of 8 games to the over. These clubs are currently in the midst of repeating that this year as they have scored 5 straight overs. Look for another one tonight with Danks facing Perkins. Danks has gone over in his last 3 in Minny, and 6-2 to the over in his last 8 vs. Twins. Perkins comes off a horrendous start and he himself has gone to the over 3 of 3 starts vs. Sox. I look for no different tonight as we should see a double digit output of runs.
The Standard: 200 units
Yesterday: 4-3, +2.3 units
Currently: -60.20 units
Units remaining: 260.20
-Winning 15 of 24 days of plays in July(68-59-4,+59.850 units)
-Totals are 35-30-5 last 70
7/28/09
$300 KC/Bal OVER 10
Bannister shut out Baltimore last year, but has had some struggles of late. His bullpen hasnt helped much either. In his last 3, opponents have averaged 6 RPG. Opponents have also averaged a similar amount over his last 4 road starts. Bannister has gone over in his last 2. Berken goes for the home squad, as they look to get their starter another win on the season. Berken is 1-8 with an ERA of over 6, while his team is just 2-9 in games he has started. Opponents have tallied 20 runs over his last 3, and opponents have averaged 4 runs in Baltimore over his last 5 at home.
$200 Atlanta -115
Braves come in to this one 17-8 in their last 25 games, one of the better runs this team has had over the last half dozen years, maybe more. I always said the Braves were never built to win 10 in a row, but they are sure close to putting together a monster win streak. Jurrjens has been lights out of late, 3-0 last 3 with a 1.97 ERA. His team backed him with 6 RPG while allowing 1 RPG in those last 3. Nolasco has pitched good of late but the same cant be said at home vs. Atlanta. He has allowed 18 ERs in his last 3 vs. Atl and the way they are hitting the ball that is curtains for the fish. Braves 6-3.
$200 ChW/Min OVER 8.5
One of the better totals to play for tonight is this one set at 8.5 runs. The over had hit in 5 straight between these clubs heading into Monday. Last year these clubs hit 8 overs in 9 meetings. Mark Buehrle will start for the Sox. He comes off a complete game no hit shutout in his last start. Minnesota will bring him back to reality. Minnesota has tallied 27 runs in his last 4 outings in the Metro-dome. The public likes an under based on his last outing but it will be time for a reality check. Baker has too struggled vs. Chicago. The Sox scored 13 runs in his 2 starts this year. Baker has gone over in his last 8 of 9 outings vs. Chicago. Sox have averaged 6 runs over Bakers last 5 home starts against them. Look for the runs to pour in Tuesday as these team will break for at least 11.
$300 Cle/LAA UNDER 9.5
Jered Weaver and the Angels have combined to pitch 4 straight unders against Cleveland. The Under has also gone 9-5 over the last 14 in LA. With Weaver, and Huff going tonight I see another under clear as day. The line opened at 10 but was bumped to 9.5 runs now. Huff has been a great fill for this Indians club. He started slow but has turned it up a notch. I think he will be able to keep LA under 5 runs tonight. It is Weaver that is the story, as the Indians have struggled against this man especially on the road. Weaver should only allowed 1-2 runs tonight leaving this one to finish around 5-3 or so, staying under the total by a run or 2.
He tossed a perfect game.He comes off a complete game no hit shutout in his last start.
The Standard: 200 units
Yesterday: 0-4, -11.1 units
Currently: -71.30 units
Units remaining: 271.3
-Winning 15 of 25 days of plays in July (+48.75 units)
Not a great day yesterday. 0-4 with what could've been 3-1. Angels rallied for more than what they needed in the bottom of the 8th, KC and Balt looked good early, the Twins total missed by a run, and the Braves took the lead in the 9th to only lose it on 2 runs allowed in the bottom half. Nothing more to say than bad news. Hopefully the rest of this week goes alright. Limited on time to pull this off. It will be the 10* plays that will make or break this thread. They have gotten hotter over the last several weeks. Think only a loss or two over the last 6-8. Looking at 20+ wins to only 4 or 5 losses based off of previosu years averages. That will be the difference. Need the smaller plays to start coming around to top it off. Let's see what happens, only 5 weeks left.
7/29/09
$300 Texas +100
$300 Minnesota -110
$100 Arizona +145
$200 Phi/Arz OVER 9.5
$200 Col/NYM UNDER 7
The Standard: 200 units
Yesterday: 2-2, -0.75 units
Currently: -72.05 units
Units remaining: 272.05
-Winning 15 of 26 days of plays in July (+48 units)
7/30/09
$200 Colorado/Mets UNDER 7 (game 1)
$200 Cubs -1.5(Even)
$500 NY Yankees -120
$500 Philly -105
$300 St. Louis -105
$300 Florida +145
IF NECCESARY: $300 NY Mets GM 2(closing line)
***If the Mets win game 1 early today play them again to sweep the double header tonight, DeLaRosa and Niese are current starters.
The Standard: 200 units
Yesterday: 1-5-1, -18.45 units
Currently: -90.45 units
Units remaining: 290.45
July (+29.6 units)
Rather pitiful day. Besides the Cubs game, Mets, Phillies, and Cards all blew leads. Yanks, Cards, and Marlins tied the games back up only to lose. Gut-wrenching night, especially when things all fall the other way.
July will be a profitable month, but August needs to be huge to get this thread into a winning prediciton...
7/31/09
$500 LAA +145
$500 Washington -115
$200 Baltimore +105
$200 Bos/Bal Over 9
$200 Det/Cle Under 9
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