Tommy Rider | CFB Total
dime bet148 Rice / 147 SMU Over 69.0 SportBet
Analysis: The key to winning overs is that both teams need to score. If that's the case, this may be the easiest over you play all year. Both of these offenses are light years ahead of the defenses. As some of you may know, I'm a huge SMU fan and I talk to some boosters down there. They tell me that this freshman quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell is the real deal. Plus, the Ponies have two stud receivers to wreak havoc on an undermanned Rice secondary. The other misconception out there is that the Run 'n' Shoot takes a long time to learn. That's totally untrue. The routes are mostly digs and outs. It's actually an easy offense to pick up compared to something like the spread. On the other side of the ball, SMU is terrible. June Jones will need to outscore people for a couple of seasons until he gets some decent recruits on defense and he knows it. Chase Clement and Jarett Dillard will do anything they want against the Ponies defense. This line has dropped and I guess people thought it was too high. I disagree. I think this is one of the few totals with some value in Week 1. I had the total set at 73, so I'll be more than happy to take it at 69. Both of these teams should easily score in the 30's in what will be an offensive track meet from start to finish.