Saturday Service Plays

[TheFade]

BIG AL

5* NCAA FOOTBALL RIVALRY GAME OF THE YEAR

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our 5* Rivalry Game of the Year is on the Texas Longhorns plus the points over Oklahoma. In the sports world's latest "Game of the Century," both teams enter the contest unbeaten -- both straight-up and ATS. And like many other rivalries, it's profitable to wager on the dog. Since 1988, the favorite in this Red River Rivalry is a poor 7-13 ATS, including 3-9 ATS if its net yards per rush is less than 1.9 yards. The Longhorns have been terrific as an underdog since 1987, going 36-19-1 ATS their last 56, including a super 12-1 ATS since November 1993 off a momentum-building pointspread win. Also, Texas falls into three of my very best College systems, which have records of 23-3, 48-10, and 136-66 ATS. 5* Rivalry Game of the Year on Texas.


5* Texas+7
4* Northwestern+3
Opinion Kentucky Even (pick)




Jeff Bonds

Double-Dime Bet

Florida / LSU Under 47.0

The LSU Tigers have had quite a long time to prepare for this battle and I anticipate that Les Miles will have a very conservative approach offensively for his freshman QB, as they travel to the Swamp for a night game.

On the other end - questions abound on the health of Percey Harvin and even when he was a 100% against Tennessee - Florida had trouble moving the ball at times.

Both enter a very favorable total trend, as the UNDER is 15-4 in Florida's last 19 games when revenging a loss of seven or fewer points and the UNDER is 12-3 in LSU's last 15 road games against top flight offenses.

Can't see more than 40 points scored in this MONSTER MATCHUP of the previous two national champions.


Double-Dime Bet

Oklahoma / Texas Over 57.0




Stephen Nover

Double-Dime Bet

Miami -17 vs UCF

Analysis: Miami is very young, but there is a class difference here. The Hurricanes are going to have motivation here after losing close ACC games to North Carolina and Florida State in their last two games.

The Hurricanes want to bury their in-state rival. They don't want Central Florida to cut into their fertile recruiting base.

Miami has the athletes to bury Central Florida, which is seriously deficient at the skill positions. The Knights have only scored three touchdowns in three road games.

The Knights also have morale issues.




Tommy Rider

Double-Dime Bet

Nevada / New Mexico St. Over 67

Every single thing points to this game going way over. I actually have a projected score of 88 here, which is three entire touchdowns over the total. This should probably be a 3 Unit play but I've been burned on some totals this season and I have a bigger play for this week. This is one of my classic "One teams runs the ball well against a team that can't stop the run vs. a team that passes the ball well against a team that can't stop the pass.

Nevada ranks fourth in the nation in rushing offense, averaging 308.0 yards per game on the ground. The Wolf Pack has two of the top three rushers in the WAC, quarterback Colin Kaepernick is second at 102.2 yards per game and running back Vai Taua is third at 85.2 yards per game. Nevada is seventh nationally in total offense, averaging 521.2 yards per game. Defensively, Nevada ranks 118th against the pass, allowing a whopping 332 yards per game.

Meanwhile, the Aggies are allowing teams to run over them for 221 yards per game on the ground. Quarterback Chase Holbrook will have a big day throwing the football but New Mexico State will have no answers for Nevada's rushing attack.

Nevada is averaging 36.6 points per game, while the Aggies are scoring 27.5 points per game. The two are allowing tons of points, too, with Nevada surrendering 31.6 per contest and New Mexico State allowing 29.0. There is no way around it, this will be a shootout and an easy OVER.


3 UNIT SEC GAME OF THE YEAR

Florida +6.0 vs LSU


Double-Dime Bet

Illinois -11

[TheFade]

Right Angle Sports

2* Bowling Green / Akron Over

2* Boise St / Southern Miss Over



DR BOB

3 Star Selection
OREGON (-18.0) 44 UCLA 16

3 Star Selection
Kansas St. (-2.5) 34 TEXAS A&M 21

3 Star Selection
NORTH CAROLINA (-8.0) 35 Notre Dame 18

2 Star Selection
South Carolina (-1.0) 20 KENTUCKY 10

2 Star Selection
ARKANSAS ST. (-13.0) 42 UL Monroe 20


College Strong Opinions

SMU (+25.0) 30 Tulsa 49

Boise St. (-10.5) 38 SOUTHERN MISS 21

Clemson 17 at WAKE FOREST 16 UNDER 42.0




Scott Spreitzer

25* Texas




Spylock

All 1 unit plays

Cincinnati -7.5

Utah -23

Vanderbilt -2.5

Arkansas State -13

Oklahoma State +14



Nathan Armstrong

10* Underdog Game Of The Year

Colorado +14



Allan Eastman/Ace Ace

$500.00 Western Michigan (+1.5) over Buffalo
The Bulls are a nice upstart program in the MAC but we’re going to back the tried and true Broncos in this one. Western Michigan has won all three meetings in this series by an average of 17.3 points apiece, including a 10-point victory last season. Buffalo has had two weeks to prepare for this one, but they are just 0-4-1 ATS after a bye.

$400.00 Eastern Michigan (-1) over Army
Army pulled one of the more stunning upsets of the week last week, beating Tulane as a 20-point underdog. It was their first win of the season and teams off a win as a 20-point (or more) dog are usually a solid fade in their next game. Army is just 2-8 ATS in its last 10 home games and they are playing an Eastern Michigan team that is a bit better than its record. EMU just beat a very talented Bowling Green team (doing so as a 19-point underdog!) and the Black Knights are just 1-5 ATS against MAC teams.

$400.00 Iowa State (+5) over Baylor
I just don’t think that Baylor should be laying points to anyone. Iowa State has played three tough games in a row – almost beating Kansas, losing in overtime to UNLV, and playing a tight rivalry game at Iowa – and I think they are ready to break through the win column. Statistically, the Cyclones have the better offense and the better defense in this game. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in this series.

$300.00 LSU (+6) over Florida
We’re going to be going with power in this one. LSU has dominating offensive and defensive lines and I think that they will control the smaller Gators. LSU is the defending national champions for good reason, and if Florida had trouble with Ole Miss at home they should get run through by the Tigers. This is way too many points for Florida to be laying in a game that LSU can win outright.




Larry Ness

LEGEND Play-CFB (10-2 or 83.3 percent ATS in CFB since '05)

Georgia


Las Vegas Insider 7-3 in FB '08

UTEP



Pacific Star

Boise St. / S. Mississippi Over 57



Computer Crushers Guaranteed Selections

500K BIG EAST CONFERENCE CRUSHER PLAY OF THE YEAR
West Virginia -24


500K CONFERENCE USA CRUSHER PLAY OF THE YEAR
Tulsa -24.5

[TheFade]

Sports Wise Guys

5 Star Picks

Arizona State +27 over USC
Michigan State -2 over Northwestern
Tennessee +12 over Georgia
Arizona -6 over Stanford
Cincinnati -7.5 over Rutgers



Youngstown Connection Guaranteed Selection

Red River Shoot Out Winner
Texas +6




ASA

TEXAS A&M AGGIES (+3.5) over Kansas State Wildcats
3-Star Texas A&M +3.5

With the way KSU’s defense has been playing, there is no reason for them to be favored on the road. The Wildcat stop unit has allowed 577, 509 and 626 yards and 44 PPG their last three games (vs. Louisville, Louisiana-Lafayette & Texas Tech). And while the Aggies have not been a potent offense this season, it looks to us that they are starting to “come around” with Mike Sherman’s new schemes. They should be able to do some damage against the nation’s 102nd ranked defense. Last week vs. Oklahoma State, even though they were beaten badly, the light came on for the Aggie offense. They put up 28 points and 402 yards of total offense (184 rushing and 218 passing). Their 184 yards on the ground came at a 6.1 yards per carry clip which should continue this Saturday vs. a Wildcat defense that has allowed 5 yards per carry this season. QB Jerrod Johnson, who subbed for the injured Stephen McGee the last two weeks is getting better. However, there is a chance McGee returns from an injured shoulder this week. Either way, expect the Aggies to move the ball on Saturday. We mentioned earlier about the defensive struggles the Cats have had their last three games. Well those deficiencies go back further to last season. If you take out their two “cupcake” games this year vs. North Texas and Montana State, this Kansas State defense has been absolutely shredded their last 6 games. You saw the numbers for this year where they have allowed 1,712 yards in their LAST THREE GAMES, however let’s glance back at the end of 2007. They faced off vs. Fresno State, Missouri and Nebraska, the Wildcats allowed 1,678 yards on those final three of last year. Thus, minus the North Texas and Montana State games this year, KSU has allowed a horrible 3,390 total yards their last six games (vs. opponents with at least a pulse). That’s an average of 565 yards per game! This KSU team is not the Bill Snyder led Wildcats of old. Their defense is weak, their running game is suspect and they can’t win on the road. They have only won 2 of their last 9 games dating back to last season and those wins were against an 0-5 North Texas team and a Division 1AA Montana State team. Their road woes are worse. This team is just 2-13 SU their last 15 road tilts dating back to 2005. Not a team you would want to back in the role of road favorite. We’ll fade them here and take A&M to win this game at home.


MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS (+2.5) over Vanderbilt Commodores
3-Star Mississippi State (+2.5)

Well, Vanderbilt is now 5-0 after a 14-13 win over Auburn on Saturday. As far as we’re concerned they are the worst undefeated team in the country. We give the Commodores credit for being unbeaten, however this is not a team you want laying points on the road. They aren’t that good quite yet. Well Vandy finally put up more yardage than their opponent for once. That out gained an offensively challenged Auburn team by 55 yards. The Dores did that by gaining only 263 yards on the day. This team only averages 278 total YPG so they are not a team that is going to run away with any games. Before last week, Vanderbilt was actually out gained in each of their previous three games which were wins against Ole Miss, Rice and South Carolina. Not only were they out yarded, it was a drastic difference with their opponents in those three games netting 1,117 yards combined while Vandy only came up with 771 total yards in those contest. In other words, they were winning games they probably shouldn’t have been. Mississippi State is just 1-4 on the year, however they are a very dangerous home dog in this game. They have had two full weeks off because of last Saturday’s bye and they have played very well in their two SEC games this season easily covering both. The Dogs lost 3-2 at home vs. Auburn as a 10-point dog. They also traveled to one of the toughest venues in the county, not to mention one of the best teams in the nation, and lost 34-24 @ LSU as a 24-point puppy. This Vanderbilt team is not accustomed to being “at the top of the mountain” in the SEC. In fact, they have been a road favorite in the SEC just 3 times since 1995. They are 0-3 ATS in those games. They have been winning with smoke and mirrors as their offense is among the worst in the nation (114th in total yards). They now are laying points on the road vs. a rested team with a pretty good defense. Those are not the ingredients for success. We’ll call for the out right upset as Mississippi State wins this one at home.


GEORGIA BULLDOGS (-12.5) over Tennessee Volunteers
ASA 4-Star Georgia (-12.5)


BAYLOR BEARS (-4.5) over Iowa State Cyclones
5-Star Baylor (-4.5)

The Bears were playing pretty good football until they ran into gigantic buzz saw last week in Oklahoma. A hiccup in that game was to be expected as the Sooners are playing fantastic football right now. OU whipped Baylor 49-17 as was to be expected. However, watch this week as the boys from Waco bounce back. Before running into the Sooners, the Bears had won 2 of their previous 3 games with their only loss coming @ UConn by just 3 points. This team is starting to play much better on offense as they are now grasping new coach Art Briles complex system. They are especially efficient running the ball as they stand 16th nationally in that category averaging 218 yards per game on an impressive 5.5 yards per carry. Their freshman QB Robert Griffin is a very tough match up for any defense as he has not only passed for 831 yards but he has also run for nearly 500 this year. That’s a ASA’s SEC Game of the Week This section of 1st & Goal has our SEC Game of the Week. We have great ties or contacts in this region and have always done well with our SEC picks. See who we like this week below. terrible match up for an Iowa State team that has struggled to stop the run in 2008. The Cyclones are allowing their opponents to rake them for 175 YPG on nearly 5 yards per carry. That ranks them near the bottom of Division 1A at 94th. Baylor’s offense is tough to prepare for and ISU will have serious problems containing them on Saturday. This will be a tough game mentally for ISU. That’s because this team was on the verge of a HUGE upset last week and home and blew it. They led Kansas 20-0 at halftime and couldn’t hold on. It would have been the Cyclones first win over a ranked team since 2005. The Jayhawks took control immediately in the second half scoring TD’s on their first three possessions to take a 21-20 lead. Iowa State had the ball with just over one minute remaining and a chance to drive into field goal range a get a win. They were unable to move the ball and lost 35-33. Now going on the road will be tough. Iowa State has played two road games this year and lost both @ UNLV and @ Iowa. This is a young team that will have a tough time bouncing back in this spot. Baylor will be ready to atone for last week’s big home loss.




Teddy Covers

Big Ticket - Arkansas
4* Ohio State
3* Northwestern
3* Okie State
3* Georgia
3* LA Tech
3* FLA International
2* Central Michigan



EZ WINNERS

5* Miss. St. +3 (buy the .5 point)

3* Georgia -12.5

2* S. Carolina -3



Glen Mcgrew

Blowout GOM Texas Tech

Big 10 GOY Northwestern



Jim Feist

TV GOM Wisconsin



Northcoast

Big 12 GOW

Baylor




IndianCowboy

Ball State Cardinals @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Pick: 3 units Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +15.5 (POD)

Western Michigan Broncos @ Buffalo Bulls
Pick: 3 units Western Michigan Broncos +1.5

Boise State Broncos @ So Mississippi
Pick: 3 units So Mississippi +11

Tennessee Volunteers @ Georgia Bulldogs
Pick: 3 units Tennessee Volunteers +12

Temple Owls @ Central Michigan Chippewas
Pick: 3 units Temple Owls +7.5



Nathan Armstrong

3* Purdue
3* Texas
3* Michigan State
3* Stanford
3* Kansas State

[TheFade]

Brandon Lang

30 Dime Oklahoma

5 Dime Army

5 Dime Notre Dame

FREE - Missouri



Kelso Sturgeon

200 Unit College Football Game of the Year

Air Force -10½ over SAN DIEGO STATE
Prediction: Air Force by 35




Scott Spreitzer

Underdog GOM Miss St



Ethan Law

4% -- Western Kentucky +16.5
4% -- Ketucky +3
2% -- Georgia -13
2% -- AF -11
2% -- Idaho +34.5
2% -- Army -1
2% -- ARKANSAS/AUBURN OVER 41
2% -- Rutgers +7.5
2% -- NM State +20

[TheFade]

ADVATAGE PLAYS

#130 Mississippi State +2.5 (make a ML wager as well for a unit)

#131 Utah -23.5

#136 Central Michigan/Temple UNDER 48

#186 Boise State/Southern Mississippi OVER 56


VEGAS RUNNER


Sat, 10/11/08 - 2:30 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Single-Dime Bet
130 Mississippi St 3.0 (-120) Bodog vs 129 Vanderbilt
Analysis: * 1* WAGER * (-120)


Sat, 10/11/08 - 3:30 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Double-Dime Bet
146 Southern Cal -28.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 145 Arizona St.
Analysis: ** 2* WAGER ** (UPGRADED)


Sat, 10/11/08 - 8:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Double-Dime Bet
180 Florida -6.0 (-110) Bodog vs 179 LSU
Analysis: ** 2* WAGER **



Sat, 10/11/08 - 12:30 PMvegas-runner | CFB MoneyLine Triple-Dime Bet
174 Kansas (-130) Bodog vs 173 Colorado
Analysis:
**** NCAAFB 4* TEASER of the MONTH **** (7 Pt)





KANSAS -7 & FLORIDA +1 (4*)




vegas-runner | CFB Side Double-Dime Bet
119 Texas 7.0 (+100) SportBet vs 120 Oklahoma
Analysis: ** 2* WAGER ** (Even)



Sat, 10/11/08 - 12:30 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Double-Dime Bet
174 Kansas -14.0 (-110) Bodog vs 173 Colorado
Analysis: ** 2* WAGER **



138 Ohio St. -18.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 137 Purdue
Analysis: ** 2* WAGER **


Sat, 10/11/08 - 12:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Triple-Dime Bet
169 Rutgers 8.0 (-120) BetUS vs 170 Cincinnati
Analysis: *** NCAAFB 3* GAME of the WEEK ***




JB Sports

Oklahoma -6.5



donnie black 20* underdog goy

Miss State




MADDUX SPORTS Football

#125 - NCAA - 5 units on South Carolina Pick
#134 - NCAA - 3 units on Texas A&M +3
#148 - NCAA - 3 units on Oregon -17.5
#187 - NCAA - 3 units on Tulane +4.5

#127 - NCAA - 3 units on Western Michigan +1
#142 - NCAA - 3 units on Missouri -14
#170 - NCAA - 3 units on Cincinnati -7

3 Added plays for the Saturday card.



Bob Balfe


College Football
Army -1 over Eastern Michigan
Army might be the best 1-4 team in the nation. The Black Knights have a good running game racking up 280 and 291 against Texas A&M and Tulane. Eastern Michigan cannot stop the run so I expect Army to control the clock at home. This is Army's homecoming game and they need to get a big home win as they are 0-3 on their own turf. Army had a breakout game last week against Tulane and I look for them to build on that performance today. Take Army.

Mississippi State +2 over Vanderbilt
Vandy is the number 13 team in the country yet at 5-0 are just 2 pt favorites against State. Vandy's offense is not that good and neither is their offense. I don't want to say this team is lucky because they are the best team in the nation at forcing turnovers and not getting penalized, but this is a classic look ahead game as they play Georgia next week. Mississippi State has won big games in the last few years at home and looks to play spoiler again.

Colorado State +15 over TCU
Colorado State is in the process of turning around what was once a pathetic program. Fort Collins is a tough place to play with that altitude and this team has won 5 straight home games. CSU is running the football well which they will need to do against a great TCU run defense. The Horned Frogs starting QB Andy Dalton is banged up and may miss this game CSU is playing great home football and this is too high of a spread. Take CSU.

Tennessee +12 over Georgia
This is typical Tennessee Football. The Vols play average football all season and in two months they sneak into the SEC Championship Game. I don't think it will happen this year, but Georgia is coming off a tough loss and both their QB and starting running back are banged up. Tennessee plays good defense and have owned the Bulldogs the last few years. Public money is heavy on Georgia today. Look for a low scoring game with Tennessee covering the number.

Western Kentucky +16.5 over Ball State
Ball State is off to a 6-0 start and are ranked in the top 25 for the first time ever. Talk about pressure. The Cardinals have a great offense and a very experienced team, but they do allow 350 yards a game and have been very fortunate this year at getting turnovers or teams faltering at the right times. The betting public is all over Ball State and this line should be in the 20's if Vegas wanted even money on each side. This game is set low for a reason. Look for the Hilltoppers to give Ball State their best shot. Take Western Kentucky.

Major League Baseball
Rays -110 over Redsox
Kazmir/Beckett

[TheFade]

Mike Rose

10* FLORIDA GOY

3* WISCONSIN

3* CENTRAL MICHIGAN




sixth Sense

2% S. Carolina –3

2% W. Michigan +1

2% Texas A&m +3

2% Missouri –14

2% North Carolina –9

2% Texas Tech –20.5

2% Tulane +4




GOLD SHEET LATE TELEPHONE RELEASES (Nationwide Publishing)

2 units = #125 SOUTH CAROLINA - Super Power 7
1 1/2 units = #194 HAWAII - Top Choice
1 unit = #115 MINNESOTA
1 unit = #127 WESTERN MICHIGAN
1 unit = #172 TEXAS TECH
1 unit = #189 AIR FORCE




PSYCHIC

2 units Illinois -12
2 units Rutgers +7.5
2 units Temple +7.5
3 units Arizona -7
3 units Oklahoma State +14.5



DA STICK

5 units Mississippi State +3
5 units Florida International -2
10 units Oklahoma -6.5
10 units underdog game of the week Notre Dame +8.5
15 units Penn State -6
15 units Northwestern +1.5
20 units Game of the Year Florida -6

10 units teaser of the week Texas Tech -11, USC -18, Florida +4

MLB

10 units Philadelphia Phillies +141