Ball St. - Pick @ Toledo --- 3*
These two played earlier this year at Ball St and the Cardinals won by 13. I don't see the venue changing affecting the score much. Ball St. wins this easily in my mind. Ball St. has the 16th best defense in the country and that translates well to road games. Toledo has the 332nd ranked offense in the land.
Miami (Ohio) +3.5 @ Akron --- 1*
I don't have a wonderful set of stats to support my thinking here. I just think Miami plays excellent defense and wins a low scoring game at Akron. Miami is also 4-1 on the road in conference, so playing in hostile arenas doesn't seem to affect them much.
Auburn (-3.5) @ Georgia --- 1*
Georgia is a horrible team. They are 1-9 in SEC play. While Auburn isn't great in conference play, they're 5-5 looks much better. I honestly don't see Georgia staying within 12 pts in this game.
Kansas (-17.5) vs. Iowa St. - 1*
As you might know, I'm a Kansas slappy, I can't control these things. I usually try to avoid betting on them for that exact reason. This game stands out though. Iowa St. lost by 15 at KSU, lost by 31 at Missouri, and lost by 19 at Oklahoma St. None of these venues are as tough a place to play as Allen Fieldhouse is. Kansas has the #1 home winning streak for a reason. It's tough to play there. Kansas covers 17.5 easily.


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