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Thread: Martingale System NFL

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    Major General drklrdbill's Avatar
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    Default Martingale System NFL

    This system is on the basis of a team losing 3 games both straight-up and ATS. You then play them either as dogs with the points or on the ML as favorites (which happens rarely for a team losing 3 games both SU and ATS)

    Bbuy half a point (.5) onto the point spread if your team happens to be an underdog with an exact spread of either +2.5, +3, +6.5, or +7

    Week 4:
    TB Bucs [A] @ Redskins +7.5 (B+1/2) 1.2u to win 1u
    CLE Browns [A] vs. Bengals +5.5 1.1u to win 1u
    MIA Dolphins [A] vs. Bills +2 1.1u to win 1u
    KC Chiefs [A] vs. Giants +8.5 1.1u to win 1u

    One caveat: He has not done this system before, it has just been back-tracked. So I'm going to start off small, if play this at all this week. Good luck.

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    Major General drklrdbill's Avatar
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    Won Bucs, Browns, Dolphins +3u

    Lost Chiefs -1.1u

    Total: +1.9u

    Week 5:
    Chiefs [B] +9 2.31u to win 2.1u
    Titans [A] +3.5 1.1u to win 1u
    Panthers [A] -190 1.9u to win 1u

    Bet (waiting on line):
    Seahawks [A]

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    The Martingale Betting System was developed in 18th century France. It was actually part of a group of betting methods that were classified as “martingale.” Today, Martingale refers to a relatively simple sports betting system that dictates when you win a wager, you bet the same amount on the next wager, but when you lose a bet, you double your next wager.

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    First Sergeant CRhoades's Avatar
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    That means when the Chiefs are 0-15, they REALLY should win that last game of the year!

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    Major General drklrdbill's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by CRhoades View Post
    That means when the Chiefs are 0-15, they REALLY should win that last game of the year!
    Where you been man? Get back on IRC!!

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    Major General drklrdbill's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by drklrdbill View Post
    Won Bucs, Browns, Dolphins +3u

    Lost Chiefs -1.1u

    Total: +1.9u

    Week 5:
    Chiefs [B] +9 2.31u to win 2.1u
    Titans [A] +3.5 1.1u to win 1u
    Panthers [A] -190 1.9u to win 1u

    Bet (waiting on line):
    Seahawks [A]
    Won Chiefs +9, Panthers -190, and Seahawks -120 = +4.1u

    Lost Titans +3.5 = -1.1u

    Total = +4.9u

    Sunday 10/18/09

    Raiders [A] +14 -110 1.1u to win 1u
    Rams [A] +9.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u
    Bills [A] +9.5 1.1u to win 1u
    Titans [B] +9 2.31u to win 2.1u
    Last edited by drklrdbill; October 15th, 2009 at 01:56 AM.

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    Major General drklrdbill's Avatar
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    Won Raiders, Rams, Bills +3u
    Lost Titans -2.31u

    Total: +5.59u

    Sunday 10/25/09
    Jets [A] -275 2.75u to win 1u

    Hopefully the Titans bounce back in 2 weeks against the Jags.
    Last edited by drklrdbill; October 22nd, 2009 at 05:42 PM.

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    Master Sergeant diondublin's Avatar
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    [QUOTE=drklrdbill;9986]This system is on the basis of a team losing 3 games both straight-up and ATS. You then play them either as dogs with the points or on the ML as favorites (which happens rarely for a team losing 3 games both SU and ATS)

    Bbuy half a point (.5) onto the point spread if your team happens to be an underdog with an exact spread of either +2.5, +3, +6.5, or +7

    This is a very clever system - you obviously understand how the markets work.

    The only caveat I would add is perhaps develop a method to determine the truly awful teams, otherwise they could cost you money week after week until the market appreciates just how bad they are!!

    One more thing - I am generally dissatisfied with the cost at the bookies I play with of buying half-a-point onto key numbers as you suggest. Looking at this week's Bills game, to change the number to 3.5 from 3 would mean changing the percentage from 104.8% to 105.8% (5/6 and 20/21 from 5/6 and 1/1) - quite expensive. It just might be right in this game if you were playing the Bills, I think, but generally buying a half-point is an expensive luxury, I believe! Fortunately in this case I could shop around - several books are going Bills +3.5 anyway, with at least one (Paddy Power) going the usual 10/11 both ways at that spread.

    Please let me know what you might pay for a half-a-point at the bookies you use.

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