September 4th NFL Service Plays

[TheFade]

PlayByPlayInc. NFL
9/4/2008 WASHINGTON at
NY GIANTS Over 41

Nathan Armstrong NFL
9/4/2008 WASHINGTON 4

HONDO

Welcome to Football Hondo '08, where for the price of The Post you also receive - free of charge - your very own personal seat license for five months of riveting, top-notch, savvy and in-depth NFL handicapping. So pull up a chair, HondoNation, and pay close attention as Mr. Aitch offers this week's words of pigskin wisdom:

Giants over Redskins:
The No More Shockey Factor trumps the Super Bowl Winner Letdown Theory. Lay 'em and slay 'em.

Sports Gambling Hotline

Washington at NY GIANTS

We have a few reasons why we like the UNDER in the NFL tonight.

Let's start with the fact that both series meetings last year stayed UNDER the posted total. That makes 3 of the last 4, and 6 of the last 9 overall meetings between these division rivals having played LOW.

Then you have the fact that Washington is breaking in a new coach in Jim Zorn who is busy implimenting his new coaches, and sytems, and you kind of get the feeling that starting quarterback Jason Campbell, who is now on his third new offensive coordinator in his first four years in the league, is going to struggle getting his offense into the end zone.

The Giants finished the season last year, by playing UNDER in 6 of their final 9 games, including 3 of their 4 in the postseason.

The Giants do like to pound away with their running game, so expect the clock to keep moving in this game, and for the Redskins and Giants to hold UNDER the posted price this Thursday night.

Play the LOW.

3* UNDER

ARMVIN SPORTS NFL
9/4/2008 WASHINGTON at
NY GIANTS Over 41

NFL DUNKEL


Washington at NY Giants
Jim Zorn takes over the helm of a Washington team that upset the Giants on the road (22-10) in Week 14 of last season. The Redskins are the underdog pick (+3 1/2) in the opener according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 4

Game 451-452: Washington at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 135.248; NY Giants 135.636
Dunkel Line: Even; 37
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3 1/2); Under

NFL LONG SHEET

Week 1

Thursday, September 4

WASHINGTON (9 - 8) at NY GIANTS (14 - 6) - 9/4/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NFL SHORT SHEET

Week 1
Thursday, September 4th
Washington at NY Giants, 7:00 ET NBC
Washington: 28-11 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
NY Giants: 4-0 Over at home the total is between 38.5 and 42 points
NFL WRITE-UP
2008 Week 1 NFL analysis
Thursday, September 4
Redskins @ Giants-- Defending champs always open on the first Thursday of season; Giants won first meeting of season with the division rival Redskins in each of last seven years, taking three of last four played here. Totals in last eight series games in Swamp were all 36 or less. Under is 6-1-1 in Skins' last eight openers on road, 6-2 in last eight Giant home openers. Washington is 8-4 as underdog in road opener; Giants are 7-3 as fave in home opener.

Trend Sheet

Thursday, September 4
7:00 PM WASHINGTON vs. NY GIANTS
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
NY Giants are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

[TheFade]

ARTHUR RALPH

Thurs. Under Redskins/Giants 41 .5

CAPPERS ACCESS

Thur (NFL) Redskins

Lance's Lock
Overall record: 659-552-23
Current streak: 1 win
Todays play: The Redskins +4'

THE SPORTS REPORTER

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 4

*NY GIANTS over WASHINGTON by 6
NY GIANTS, 27-21.

POWER PLAY

4* Giants / Redskins OVER

THE SPORTS ADVISORS


NFL

Washington at N.Y. Giants
The defending Super Bowl champion Giants kick off the NFL?s 2008 season at home against the NFC East rival Redskins, who are looking for a return trip to the playoffs, this time under first-year coach Jim Zorn.
New York (10-6 SU and ATS in 2007) won three of its last five regular-season games to earn a wild-card spot, then left the Big Apple for four straight weeks en route to four straight playoff upsets. The Giants capped their stunning run with a 17-14 Super Bowl victory over previously unbeaten New England as a 12?-point underdog, the franchise?s third Super Bowl title.
Washington (9-7, 7-7-2 ATS in 2007) was a surprise guest at the 2007 playoff party, closing the season with four straight wins to steal a wild-card spot. However, the Redskins? postseason stay didn?t last long, as they went scoreless for three quarters in an opening-round game at Seattle, then gave up three fourth-quarter TDs in a 35-14 loss to the Seahawks as a three-point underdog.
Giants QB Eli Manning, who had a serviceable regular season (3,336 passing yards, 23 TDs, 20 INTs), threw just one INT in the playoffs versus six TD tosses, including the title winner to Plaxico Burress in the final minute of play. Manning and Burress return to an offense that averaged 23.3 points and 331.4 yards per game, both of which ranked in the middle of the NFL?s pack.
Defensively, New York yielded 21.9 points and 305 yards per outing, the latter ranking fifth-best in the league. However, gone are defensive line stalwarts Michael Strahan (retirement) and Osi Umenyiora (season-ending injury), who combined for 22 sacks last year.
After starting QB Jason Campbell (knee) went down late last year, journeyman Todd Collins took over the offense and helped the Redskins to their late-season flourish. Campbell, who will return to his starting role, completed 60 percent of his passes for 2,700 yards in 13 games last year, with a TD-to-INT ratio of 12-11. Washington put up 20.9 points and 333.4 yards per game in 2007, and yielded 19.4 points and 305.2 yards per outing.
Including the playoffs, the Giants were a moneymaking machine away from home last year, going 10-2 ATS in road/neutral site games. In East Rutherford, however, they were 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS, failing to cash in three of their last four home games. New York was also 6-4 ATS laying points last year and split the cash in its six division games. On the positive end, Tom Coughlin?s club enters 2008 on ATS streaks of 6-0 overall (playoffs included), 16-6 since late 2006, 5-1 in conference play and 9-4-1 inside the NFC East.
The Redskins went 4-4 SU and 4-3-1 ATS on the road last year, though they did cash in back-to-back roadies against the Giants and Vikings in December en route to making the playoffs. Washington is on a 4-1 ATS run overall but is just 9-19-4 ATS in its last 32 September games and 2-6-2 ATS in its past 10 season openers.
These two teams split last year?s season series, with the road team scoring an upset in each contest. The favorite is on a 5-2 ATS run in the last seven clashes.
Defending Super Bowl champs are 6-0-1 ATS the last seven years in these season-opening prime-time affairs.
For Washington, the under has cashed in five straight season openers and is on further runs of 6-1-1 in September and 17-8-3 against the NFC East. Meanwhile, for New York, the under is on streaks of 5-1 in division play and 5-1 inside the conference. Finally, the under has been the play in five straight series meetings at Giants Stadium.
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. GIANTS and UNDER

NFL Wiseguys

NY Giants

WINNING POINTS

*New York Giants over Washington by 7 (Thursday)
NY GIANTS 23-16.

POINTWISE


THURSDAY

NEW YORK GIANTS 22 - Washington 20 - (7:00 - NBC) -- Defending champs must go it without brilliance of both Strahan & Umenyiora on that defensive line which dominated LY's playoffs. Manning obviously improved as the season wore on, so that is a huge plus, but NY played its best ball on the road in '07, losing to the 'Skins 22-10, as hosts LY (16? pt ATS loss). As a matter of fact, NY lost its last 4 HGs SU. Jim Zorn takes over as head man for Washington, with consistency from QB Campbell his main concern, with a bevy of quality WRs to throw to. The 'Skins are a solid 13-5 ATS on the division road, so call this under spot.

[TheFade]

Teddy Sevransky/ Teddy Covers

20* NE Pats under 12.5

The following are all 10*

Ravens Under 6
Bills Over 7.5
Bears Under 8
Browns Under 8.5
Texans Over 7.5
KC Under 6
Vikings Over 8.5
Saints Over 8.5
Rams Under 6.5


Frank Rosenthal
THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 04, 2008
NFL - WEEK 1
452 GMEN-4 SB
UNDER 41.5 SB


Vegas Sports Experts

10* Redskins

LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): WASHINGTON REDSKINS vs NY GIANTS

Play: WASHINGTON REDSKINS +4.5 (free play)Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: WASHINGTON REDSKINS +4.5 (free play) ^^^ We're not expecting much offense from either team. Both defenses are injured but this is the black and blue division of the NFC, so don't expect a blowout. With that said, a +4.5 line is more than generous for a dog. It is the first game of the season and this is a free play so don't go overboard because it's opening day. Sunday is around the corner and there's a full card of better games to play. Play it conservative and lets start the season with a dog to bark at +4.5

Charlies Sports

thursday sept 4, 2008.

nfl. giants @ redskins under 41' (500*)
nfl..redskins+4' (30*)

Cajun-Sports NFL Thursday


Time / Date: 7:00 EST / Thursday September 4 (NBC)

Game: Washington Redskins vs. New York Giants

Line Origin: BetCris @ 3:43 EST September 3

Grade / Prediction: 2* New York Giants -3.5

Analysis:
Washington travels to the Big Apple to face the defending Super Bowl Champions on Thursday night. New York lost to these Skins last season when hosting them in New York in fact they suffered a 16.5 point ATS loss when the Skins won the game 22 to 10.
As with every new season questions abound on both teams as the Giants lost two outstanding defensive players before the season even started. One to retirement and the other to a knee injury during a preseason game. Strahan and Umenyiora will be missed on the defensive front for the G-Men and that is an area without much depth. Those two accounted for 22 of last season’s 53 sacks by Giant defenders. The Giants have lost 5 starters from last season’s defensive unit that ranked eighth in the league. The Skins open this campaign with a new head coach in Jim Zorn. Although the Skins have talent at the wide receiver position there are still consistency questions with their signal caller, QB Jason Campbell.
Campbell is learning his third offensive system in four years and that has shown in his inconsistency. The offensive scheme he is required to play in now, the West Coast offense requires its QB to be extremely accurate and also able to make the necessary changes at the line of scrimmage. These are the things he has struggled with since he took over the starting job in DC.
The Giants are not getting the type of respect from the oddsmaker that a Super Bowl Champion should get especially facing a team with so many questions and a new head coach. Could it be because defending Super Bowl Champs are 0-6 ATS in season openers when facing a division opponent?
We hope not because that the last seven Super Bowl Champs have opened the next campaign by going 7-0 SU and 6-0-1 ATS. We also note that the G-Men have won and covered three of the last four at Giants Stadium versus the Skins and outscored them 85 to 39 in the process.
We also note that the Skins are 5-5 and 2-6-2 ATS in first game of the season and 6-10 ATS on the road the last two seasons. One final note the league is 13-0 ATS in Week One of the NFL season as a division home favorite of 4 or less points if they won at least eight games in the previous season.
The Skins have too many questions and the Giants know they need to get out of the gate with a solid performance in Game One of the season. The latest information we have received out of the Giants camp is they are ready and willing to carry that “mark” of a champion in the 2008 season.

GRADED PREDICTION: 2* NEW YORK GIANTS -3.5

Analyst: Bobby Esposito
20,000 Dime Opening Season Lock


ONE AND ONLY 20,000 DIME
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New York Giants -4 over Washington

Sports Gambling Hotline

Washington at NY GIANTS

We have a few reasons why we like the UNDER in the NFL tonight.

Let's start with the fact that both series meetings last year stayed UNDER the posted total. That makes 3 of the last 4, and 6 of the last 9 overall meetings between these division rivals having played LOW.

Then you have the fact that Washington is breaking in a new coach in Jim Zorn who is busy implimenting his new coaches, and sytems, and you kind of get the feeling that starting quarterback Jason Campbell, who is now on his third new offensive coordinator in his first four years in the league, is going to struggle getting his offense into the end zone.

The Giants finished the season last year, by playing UNDER in 6 of their final 9 games, including 3 of their 4 in the postseason.

The Giants do like to pound away with their running game, so expect the clock to keep moving in this game, and for the Redskins and Giants to hold UNDER the posted price this Thursday night.

Play the LOW.

3♦ UNDER

. R. Miller

Professional Gambler Newsletter

Thursday, September 4, 2008


We have these plays today:
National Football League:
REDSKINS +4.5 -101 at Giants

Comments:

REDSKINS +4.5 -101 at Giants

We're expecting the Redskins to score between 17 and 24 points while the Giants score between 16 and 23 points. We expect one or the other team to win this game by maybe 3 or 4 points, but we don't know which team.....The Redskins' defense may be able to stop the Giants' running attack, but Manning's passing may be able to overcome his team's rushing problems. (Remember, the Giants' DEFENSE won the Super Bowl by holding the Patriots to only 14 points. Offense makes headlines, but defense wins football games.) We're guessing that the Redskins could win tonight, 21-20, but be sure to get a pointspread of at least 4 points. We'd probably pass this play at +3.5. (Too many possible 4-point total scores: 10-6, 13-9, 14-10, 17-13, 20-16, 21-17, 24-20.....Even 27-23 and 28-24.)