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June 10th, 2009 07:03 PM #1
Corporal
Service Plays Wednesday
SportsbetCapping-Freddy Wills (Fast Cash Freddy)
Today we have a Steam Chalk Play on the Phillies. It hurts me to say, but I see a dominant performance coming from Cole Hamels here tonight. The Mets one of the better teams last year vs. LHP have really struggled this year. They are scoring just 2.59 runs in their last 10 vs. LHP with a .215 average.
They'll likely not get much here tonight in my opinion unless it comes from Beltran and Wright. Hamels will be able to relax because Delgado won't be in the lineup. Delgado is 7-15 3HR and 6 RBI lifetime against Cole. You take him out of the lineup and his numbers look a lot better against the Mets.
Pelfrey will go on the mound here tonight where he has only gone more than 5.1 IP 2 times in 6 tries against the Phillies. I think he will have his work cut out for him, but I think we will have a pitching duel. In the end the Phillies are left standing.
Steam Chalk Play- with 74% on the Phillies the line as reacted accordingly from opening at -124 it has now soared to -150 to -160 in some places.
Take Phillies 2U play @ -150
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Today's MLB POD is going to be on the match up between the Mariners and the Orioles.
The pitching match up is the same pitching match up that met three times last year. Felix Hernandez matched up against Jeremy Guthrie three times last year and the totals were 4 runs, 6 runs and 5 runs. Both pitched very well and I think they will here again tonight.
Guthrie is coming off a road start where he gave up 6 ER in .2 IP. I think he will bounce back well. I like taking solid pitchers at home coming off a poor road start in this situation. The fact that the Mariners aren't favorites and 88% of the public are on the Mariners and the line has not budged tells me that the we can expect a quality start out of Guthrie.
Felix who had a start here of 8IP 0ER last year is pitching at his best right now. 21.2IP 1.11 whip and a 0.83 ERA in his last three starts. I don't have to tell you that Felix is a solid pitcher now do I?
Baltimore scoring just 1.48 runs/0 in their last 10 vs. RHP and SEA 3.71 last 10 vs. RHP along with both bullpens pitching well 2.10 ERA last 10 for SEA and 3.34 ERA for BAL gives us a solid edge on the under.
Worth mentioning: Felix 11-1 on the under in his last 12 vs. AL East. Guthrie under 7-0 in his last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Take Under 8.5 runs 4U MLB POD
Last edited by The Wiz; June 10th, 2009 at 08:24 PM.
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