2012 MLB Home Run Total Odds


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The home run is the most exciting play in baseball and it’s what keeps fans coming back. The odds for which player will hit the most bombs in 2011 have finally been posted. Here is a quick look at the top five players on that list, plus I have marked some sleepers worth checking out in the complete list of odds. Each player has the odds listed after their name. Say a player is +1000 to win the home run title; that means a $100 wager would win you $1,000.

Jose Bautista (+650) - Bautista is the man to beat when it comes to hitting the long ball. He has won back-to-back home run titles. He came out of nowhere to hit 54 home runs in 2010. He finished 2011 with just 43, but it was still two more than the next best. You can pretty much bank on Bautista hitting 40 home runs if healthy, making him a safe choice for this prop bet.

Albert Pujols (+900) - After consecutive 40-plus home run seasons, Pujols hit just 37 homers in 2011. He makes the switch from Busch Stadium in St. Louis to Angel Stadium of Anaheim. While different parks don’t have a huge impact on someone like Pujols, I think the move actually helps him. The new Busch Stadium doesn’t exactly favor right-handed hitters. Pujols has hit at least 30 home runs in 11 straight seasons. Five of those years he went over 40, topping off at 49 in 2006. Even though he turned 32 in January, the possibility for a 50-plus home run season is not out of the question.

Giancarlo Stanton (+900) – Stanton is someone you have to have on your radar if you are talking about the home runs. The kid just turned 22-years-old in November. He hit 22 home runs in just a 100 games during his rookie season in 2010. Last year, Stanton finished fifth in the NL with 34. He has tremendous power and it only figures to get better as his body matures. He might not win it this year, but it’s only a matter of time before he does.

Prince Fielder (+1000) – Fielder will take his home run swing to Comerica Park in 2012, and he could end up putting up some big time numbers playing alongside Miguel Cabrera. It’s hard to believe, but at the age of 27, Fielder is just now entering the prime of his playing days. He has been hit or miss of late. He hit a career-best 50 homer in 2007, followed by just 34 in 2008. He returned to hit 46 in 2009, only to hit 32 in 2010. The All-Star first basemen hit 38 a season ago. While I think Fielder has the ability to lead the league in home runs, he is too inconsistent for my likings.

Miguel Cabrera (+1200) – I actually like Cabrera to hit more home runs than Fielder in 2012. Last season Cabrera hit just 30 home runs, but he also walked a career-high 108 times. Now that Fielder will be hitting alongside him, opposing pitchers won’t be able to pitch around him as much. Cabrera’s career-high is just 38, set back in 2010. It’s likely going to take at least 40, if not more, to win this bet. At +1200, I think he is worth a shot.

Complete List Of Player Home Run Odds

Jose Bautista +650
Albert Pujols +900
Giancarlo Stanton +900
Prince Fielder +1000
Miguel Cabrera +1200
Mark Teixeira +1500
Adrian Gonzalez* +1800
Mark Reynolds +1800
Matt Kemp +1800
Ryan Braun +2000
Curtis Granderson +2200
Evan Longeria * +2500
Troy Tulowitzki +2500
Adam Dunn * +3000
Alex Rodriguez +3000
Jay Bruce * +3000
Nelson Cruz * +3000
Dan Uggla +3500
Joey Votto +3500
Josh Hamilton * +3500
Justin Upton +3500
Mike Morse +3500
Adam Lind +4000
Mike Napoli * +4000
Adrian Beltre +5000
Carlos Pena * +5000
Paul Konerko +5000
Robinson Cano +5000
David Ortiz +10000
Field +700

* – Additional Players I Like Outside the Top 5

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Comments

4 Responses to “2012 MLB Home Run Total Odds”

  1. Gary Smith on March 28th, 2012 9:41 AM

    In your “Complete list of player home run odds” some of the players like Adrian Gonzalez and Evan Longeria have asterisks behind their names.

    What do the asterisks mean?

    Thank you.

    —Gary

  2. Steve Janus on March 28th, 2012 9:50 AM

    Those are some additional players I feel are worth taking a look at outside the top 5.

  3. darren on March 29th, 2012 12:18 AM

    i cant find carlos gonzalez on this list… i would think he would be in this range… do you have a number for him?

  4. Jack Jones on March 29th, 2012 6:46 AM

    They don’t have odds on Car-Gone, but his over/under HR total is 27.5 which is the same as Cano. So he would likely be in the 50-to-1 area.

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