Jaguars Jets Line


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This Sunday the New York Jets will host the Jacksonville Jaguars in a matchup of two 1-0 teams. The Jets outscored the Dallas Cowboys 17-7 in the fourth quarter to win 27-24. The Jaguars were outscored 14-6 in the second half, but held on for 16-14 win. New York has lost three straight in the series, with the last one a 22-24 loss at home in 2009.

The oddsmakers don’t seem to think that streak will continue. Our week 2 NFL odds currently have the Jets favored by 9-points with the total set at 39 points.

Jacksonville Jaguars:

The Jaguars likely should have won by a much wider margin in week 1. The Titans finished with 292 yards of total offense, but 80 of those yards came on a fluke tipped pass that went for a touchdown.

Maurice Jones-Drew scored on a 21-yard touchdown run on the first drive of the game for the Jaguars, but they had to settle for three Josh Scobee field goals the rest of the way.  Jones-Drew finished with 97 yards of the Jaguars’ 163 yards on the ground.  Backup running back Deji Karim had 33 yards on 14 attempts and also caught three passes for 39 yards.

Jacksonville surprised a lot of people by cutting starting quarterback David Garrard right before the opener. With rookie Blaine Gabbert not quite ready to take over, Luke McCown started the opener. McCown threw for just 175 yards on 17 of 24 passing. His favorite target was wide out Mike Thomas, who had eight catches for 55 yards.

We will find out a lot about the Jaguars offense this week. The Jets are built to stop the run. They held Dallas to just 64 yards on 26 attempts. McCown is going to be under a ton of pressure, and if he can’t make plays it is going to be extremely hard for Jacksonville to put points on the board.

New York Jets:

As good as the Jets have to feel after coming from behind to win against the Cowboys, they are extremely lucky to have won that game. Tony Romo fumbled the ball on the Jets 1-yard line, which prevented the Cowboys from taking a two-score lead late in the game. New York also needed a block punt for a  touchdown.

A lot of the struggles are a result of just how well the Cowboys played on the defensive side of the ball. New York had just 360 yards of total offense and almost all if it came from quarterback Mark Sanchez, who  had 335 yards and two scores. Sanchez made a lot of good throws, but still made a lot of bad throws that nearly cost them the game.

The biggest surprise of the game was the Jets inability to run the football. Shonn Greene carried it just 10 times for 26 yards, while LaDainian Tomlinson had five attempts for 16 yards. Tomlinson did play a big role in the passing game, catching six passes for 73 yards.

Plaxico Burress had a solid return to the NFL, hauling in four passes for 72 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Dustin Keller also scored a touchdown and finished the game with five catches for 61 yards. Santonio Holmes tied Tomlinson with six catches for 70 yards.

Not to take anything away from the Jaguars, but Dallas is a much better team than Jacksonville on both sides of the ball. The final score of this game is going to come down to how focused the Jets are in this game. If they come to play they should have no trouble winning by at least 10 points.

Betting Trends:

New York is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

Looking for an edge against the odds? Find out who Steve Janus has picked to win in his premium plays for week 2.

Additional Resources:

  • Vernon Croy – A detailed preview on how these two teams match up.
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