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Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs

The Sacramento Kings head out on the road tonight to take on the San Antonio Spurs in this Western Conference matchup scheduled for an 8:30 P.M. ET tip-off.  Handicapper Mike Cortright breaks down the game and gives his free pick on the total.

The sportsbooks opened tonight’s matchup with the Spurs being an 11.5 point favorite with a total set at 208. We have not seen much movement on the line with most outlets still sitting at 11.5 and the total is still sitting at 208.

Sacramento (13-47) enters this matchup tonight struggling defensively as of late. The Kings are 1-4 SU the last five games in which they have seen four of those five games go over the posted total. The Kings have actually seen 9 of their last 10 games go over the posted total. Sacramento is allowing 108.8 points per game the last five games and has allowed 111.2 points per game the last 10 games. The over is 9-1 the last 10 games for the Kings after allowing 100 plus points the previous game. The over is 4-1 the last five games for Sacramento as a road underdog of 11 points or greater. The over is 5-0 the last 5 games for the Kings against a team with a winning % above .600. The over is 7-0 the last 7 games for the Kings after scoring 100 plus points the previous game.

San Antonio (52-12) enters this matchup tonight struggling on the defensive side of the ball as of late themselves. The Spurs are allowing 101.2 points per game the last five games which is 4.5 points higher then their season average. The Spurs offense has stayed hot averaging 104.2 points per game the last 5 games which is about a point higher then their season average. The over is 4-1 the last five games for the Spurs overall. The over is 4-1 the last 5 games for the Spurs against teams below .500. The over is 7-1 the last 8 games for the Spurs against teams with a winning % below .400. The over is 6-1 the last 7 games for the Spurs after a ATS loss. The over is 4-1 the last 5 games after allowing 100 plus points the previous game. The over is 15-7 the last 22 games for the Spurs as a favorite of 11 points of greater.

Sacramento is really struggling on the defensive side of the ball and they now have to take on a Spurs team that is in the top 3 for offensive efficiency at home this season and who is in the top 10 in PPG at home this season. The Spurs defense has not played as solid the past few games that is has this season and could give up some points tonight to this Kings team that plays a very fast paced game. Look for these two teams to both score some points tonight as they fly over the posted total in this game.