Mavericks at Clippers
Written by Jack Jones - Google +
The Dallas Mavericks head out on the road tonight to take on the LA Clippers scheduled for a 10:30 PM ET tip-off. Handicapper Mike Cortright breaks down the game and provides a free pick on the total.
The books opened tonight’s matchup with Dallas being a 4.5 point road favorite with a total set at 199. We have seen some movement on the line on this game with Dallas moving to -5 but the total is still sitting at 199.
Dallas comes into this matchup winning 4 of their last 5 games in which they went 3-2 ATS and has seen the last five games stay under the posted total. The Mavericks recent success is coming on the defensive side of the ball where they are allowing just 85.2 points per game which is 10.6 points lower than their season average. While the defense has improved for Dallas the offense has taken a step back averaging just 96.2 points per game the last five games which are 4 points lower than their season average. The under is 19-9 the last 28 games for Dallas as a road favorite of 5-10.5 points. The under is 4-0 the last 4 games for Dallas following an ATS win. The under is 5-0 the last five games for Dallas following a SU win.
The Clippers enters this matchup tonight winning 3 of their last 5 which they have gone just 1-4 ATS in. The Clippers have won games as of late scoring points. LA is averaging 104.8 points per game the last five games which is 6 points higher than their season average. The defense though is struggling a bit allowing 104.2 points per game the last five games which is 2.4 points higher than their season average. The under is 5-2 the last 7 home games for the Clippers. The under is 14-6 the last 20 games for LA against a team with a winning SU record. The under is 37-18-1 the last 56 games for LA as a home underdog of 5-10.5 points. The under is 11-3 the last 14 games between these two teams in LA.
Dallas is playing outstanding defense as of late. The Clippers can score but they should struggle tonight against this Dallas defense. Look for these two teams to keep this game under the posted total unlike the last game they played against each other that ended with 217 total points.
Free Pick: Dallas Mavs/LA Clippers UNDER 199
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