Miami at Florida State Line
Written by Steve Janus - Google +
The Florida State Seminoles are set to host the Miami Hurricanes in a classic rival between two storied programs. While neither team has a great shot at making it to the ACC Championship Game, both have played much better of late. The Seminoles dominated Boston College 38-7 for their fourth consecutive win, while the Hurricane rolled past Duke 49-14 for their third win their last four games. The road team has won five straight in the series, including a 45-17 Seminole win at Miami last year.
Taking a look at the week 11 lines, oddsmakers currently have Florida State favored by 9-points over Miami with the total set at 50 points.
Miami:
Miami is going to come into this game extremely motivated to get revenge against the Seminoles after that embarrassing loss last season. This team played Virginia Tech to a 35-38 final on the road earlier this season, and I don’t think there is any doubt that they believe they can win this game.
The Hurricanes really looked sharp in their win over the Blue Devils last week. Lamar Miller and Mike James combined for 205 yards and four touchdowns on the ground, while Jacory Harris completed 14 of 20 for 202 yards and three touchdowns. It was the type of offensive performance that many expected to see all season from this group.
Last year Miami put up 424 yards of total offense against the Seminoles, but managed to score just two touchdowns and a field goal. They allowed Florida State to jump out to a 21-0 lead and by the time they got rolling it was too late. Scoring against the Seminoles doesn’t figure to be any easier this time around. Florida State has allowed just 39 points over their last four games, and are 4th in the nation in yards allowed at just 268 a game.
Florida State:
The Seminoles have looked as good as any team in the country over their last four games. They have outscored each of their opponents by at least 25 points and are excelling on both the offensive and defensive sides of the ball. However, those four wins came against Duke, Maryland, NC State, and Boston College, four teams who combined to win five conference games.
The Seminoles needed just 307 yards to put up five offensive touchdowns, as Boston College struggled to move the ball and turned it over four times. E.J. Manuel was extremely efficient, completing 12 of 16 for 180 yards and a touchdown. Manuel also added another 37 yards and a score on the ground.
If it wasn’t for turnovers and great field position, Florida State could have easily put up close to 500 yards in this game. That wouldn’t have been all that surprising, considering Florida State had averaged 469 yards over their previous three games.
The Hurricanes will pose a tougher challenge defensively than what they have faced over the past month, but don’t be surprised if they continue to have a lot of success moving the ball. Miami’s defense looked good in their win over the Blue Devils, but come in allowing 383.7 ypg. The Hurricanes have really struggled against the run, giving u 179 yards a game. When the Seminoles can get the ground game going they are a very difficult team to defend, as they feature the 19th best passing attack in the country (292.3 ypg).
Betting Trends:
Miami is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Florida State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
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