2012 MLB Projected Win Totals
Written by Steve Janus - Google +
The 2012 MLB regular-season will officially begin on March 28 with a special two-game series between the Seattle Mariners and Oakland Athletics in Tokyo, Japan. Opening day for the rest of the 28 teams is April, 4. This is the time of year where everyone likes to make their predictions on where each team will finish up the season. If you feel like you have a good eye for which teams are going to improve and which teams are going to disappoint, you might want to take a look at the current win totals posted for each team. Many sportsbooks will set a number of wins for each team, allowing you to bet on whether or not a particular team will win more or less than the total given.
For those of you looking for some help on the 2012 MLB win totals, I have went through all 30 teams and posted my thoughts on whether they will go over or under their win total this season. If you are more interested in just finding out where I have each team projected to finish in the standings, check out my complete MLB predictions article.
2012 MLB Regular Season Win Totals
Arizona Diamondbacks – UNDER 86.5 (-115) – The Diamondbacks came out of nowhere to win the NL West with an impressive 94-win season. This year they won’t surprise anyone, which has me picking them to take a step back in 2012.
Atlanta Braves – OVER 86.5 (-115) – The Braves went 89-73 despite a horrific September that kept them out of the playoffs. I look for Atlanta to come in extremely motivated this year, which has me pegging them for a 90+ win season.
Baltimore Orioles – UNDER 69.5 (-135) – First off, the large amount of juice on this bet is a pretty good indicator that oddsmakers believe the Orioles won’t be a factor in the AL East. They are the worst team in arguably the best division in baseball. They won just 69 games a season ago, and have done little in the offseason to make me believe they will top that mark this year.
Boston Red Sox – OVER 90.5 (-105) – The Red Sox were doomed by a poor April and awful September, but still finished with a 90-72 record. Look for Boston to live up to expectations under new manager Bobby Valentine and return to the postseason.
Chicago Cubs – UNDER 73.5 (-125) – I think the Cubs are headed in the right direction, but this team lost more than it added over the offseason. There’s an outside chance Chicago could contend in the NL Central, but my money is on another poor finish.
Chicago White Sox – UNDER 75.5 (-115) – The White Sox were suppose to contend for the AL Central title last year, but instead finished up the year with a losing record (79-83). I personally think the White Sox are going to fall to the bottom of the division in 2012, which makes the under an easy play.
Cincinnati Reds – OVER 87.5 (-115) – The Reds failed to defend their 2010 NL Central title, but with Albert Pujols leaving St Louis and Prince Fielder no longer in Milwaukee, Cincinnati is primed to make another run at a division crown.
Colorado Rockies – UNDER 80.5 (-105) – Colorado finished up 2011 with just 73-wins. I have a hard time seeing this team win eight more games with the starting rotation they have put together this offseason.
Detroit Tigers – OVER 91.5 (-125) – The addition of Prince Fielder makes the Tigers the clear-cut favorites to once again win the AL Central. Detroit should feast off the other four teams in their division. They won 95 games without Fielder in the lineup last year. No reason they don’t reach 92 wins in 2012.
Houston Astros – UNDER 63.5 (-130) – The Astros won just 56 games in 2011 and have no desire to contend in 2012. If I had to pick one team to finish with the worst record in baseball, it would be the Houston Astros.
Kansas City Royals – OVER 78.5 (-125) – The Royals have really put together a solid nucleus for the future. With the AL Central down this year, I expect the Royals finished second in the division. This is one win total you don’t want to pass up.
Los Angeles Angels – OVER 91.5 (-130) – The Angels went out and added in one of the best hitters in the game in Albert Pujols and a rising star in starter C.J. Wilson. The Angels are for real. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if they finished with the best record in baseball in 2012, making the over a no-brainer.
Los Angeles Dodgers – OVER 80.5 (-115) – A lot of people are writing off the Dodgers in the NL West this year, but I don’t think that is a very smart move. While San Francisco and Arizona are the teams to beat, you can’t overlook a team that has one of the best young hitters, Matt Kemp, and starters, Clayton Kershaw.
Miami Marlins – UNDER 85.5 (-125) – The expectations in Miami are very high going into the season, which likely has this total a little higher than what it should be. The Phillies and Braves are still the two best teams in the NL East, leaving me to think the Marlins will come up just short of 86 wins.
Milwaukee Brewers – OVER 85.5 (-120) – Even with the loss of Fielder the Brewers still have enough offense and pitching to win the NL Central. Milwaukee should be able to win at least 86 games this year.
Minnesota Twins – OVER 72.5 (-135) – I don’t think the Twins have enough to win their division, but this total is simply too low. Minnesota was crushed by injuries in 2011, which has me calling for them to get back on track and pass the posted total here.
New York Mets – UNDER 73.5 (-125) – The Mets are the only team in the NL East that I don’t think has a chance at winning the division. The loss of Jose Reyes will have a bigger impact than one might think. Look for the Mets to finish with less than 70 wins in 2012.
New York Yankees – UNDER 93.5 (-125) – The OVER is always a popular choice when it comes to the Yankees win total, but I think this team is a bit overrated heading into 2012. New York not only fails to win 94 games, but they finish third in the AL East and out of the playoffs.
Oakland Athletics – UNDER 72.5 (-135) – The A’s are in the middle of a major rebuilding phase, and I don’t expect this team to win more than 72 games. It will be hard enough to win games within in their own division with the Angels and Rangers both looking like World Series contenders.
Philadelphia Phillies – OVER 93.5 (-110) -The Phillies finished with the best record in baseball last year, finishing the season 102-60. Their unbelievable starting rotation makes them a threat to win every time they take the field. I don’t think they get back to a 100 wins, but I think 94 wins is well within reach.
Pittsburgh Pirates – OVER 72.5 (-125) – The Pirates were right in the thick of things in the NL Central before falling apart in the second half of the season. I look for Pittsburgh to put together a more complete season and easily pass the 73-win mark in 2012.
San Diego Padres – UNDER 73.5 (-105) – The Padres are a hard team to figure out. They surpassed expectations in 2010, only to falter in 2011. I have them as the worst team in the NL West, which has me siding with the UNDER in this bet.
San Francisco Giants – OVER 87.5 (+105) – The Giants are another team that had their 2011 season ruined by injuries, especially on the offensive side of the ball. They are one of the few teams that can rival the starting rotation of the Phillies, which has me pegging San Francisco winning the NL West with at least 90-wins.
Seattle Mariners – OVER 71.5 (-125) – The Marines have no shot at competing with the Angels and Rangers in the AL West, but they are team that I think could surprise in 2012. The offense should be drastically improved this year, and they still have one of the best starters in the game in Felix Hernandez.
St Louis Cardinals – UNDER 85.5 (-115) – The loss of Pujols and manager Tony La Russa will be too much for the Cardinals to overcome in 2012. I think they are still one of the top three teams in the NL Central, but I believe they will fall just short of 86 wins this season.
Tampa Bay Rays – OVER 86.5 (-130) – I am really big on the Rays chances of winning the AL East this season, which makes the OVER 86.5 an easy play. Tampa Bay has one of the best starting staffs in the American League and should be better than they were a year ago offensively.
Texas Rangers – UNDER 91.5 (+100) – There’s no question the Rangers will be one of the best offensive teams in all of baseball, but I don’t think they have the starting pitching to duplicate their success from the last two years.
Toronto Blue Jays – UNDER 82.5 (-115) – Toronto is one of the most underrated teams in baseball. However, playing in the same division as the Yankees, Red Sox and Rays doesn’t leave a whole lot of opportunities to rack up wins. I would take the Blue Jays over 82.5 in just about every other division outside of the AL East.
Washington Nationals – UNDER 83.5 (-120) – The Nationals enter the 2012 season with some lofty expectations for a team that hasn’t really done a whole lot. Washington is still a year or two away from competing for a division title, which has me rolling the UNDER 84 wins this season.
3 Responses to “2012 MLB Projected Win Totals”
Got something to say?





what happened to cleveland?
Dear website,
2004 red sox did win wild card.
Thanks,
Aaron
the texas rangers dont have pitching against there only good opponet the detroit tigers but if the detroit tigers miguel cabrera and prince fielder ithink the tigers are going to be the best in the AL this year