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Nevada at BYU

This Saturday the Nevada Wolf Pack will take their perfect 3-0 record on the road to take on the BYU Cougars in a MWC vs. WAC showdown. Nevada comes into this game off a very impressive 52-31 win at home last Friday against California, while the Cougars have lost two straight, including a 34-10 loss at Florida State last week. If you are thinking about betting on the game this weekend, the current odds have the Wolf Pack favored by 4-points over the Cougars on the road.

Nevada (3-0): The Wolf Pack have came out on fire to start the 2010 season, as the offense is clicking and the defense is playing well enough to win. I was very impressed with how easy it was for the Wolf Pack to move the ball against the Golden Bears last week. Nevada’s offense ranks 4th in the country at 50.7 points per game, and also has the fifth ranked rushing attack in the nation with a 302 yard average.

Quarterback Colin Kaepernick put on another incredible performance last week, as the not only threw for 181 yards and two touchdowns, but had a 148 yards and three touchdowns on the ground. Kaepernick has been flawless in the first three games of the season, as he has thrown for 728 yards and five touchdowns with no interceptions, and has a team best  369 yards ans seven touchdowns on the ground. Running back Vai Tua also had a nice day against Cal, as he ran for 151 yards and a touchdown on 25 carries. The defense remains a liability for the Wolf Pack, as they gave up over 500 yards of total offense to the Golden Bears, but if the offense keeps playing like it has, it might not matter.

BYU (1-2): The Cougars are not use to losing, as they have went 43-9 over the last four seasons, but it doesn’t look like they are going to have that same kind of success this season. After beating a pretty good Washington team at home to start the year, the Cougars have been outscored 69-24 in their last two games against Air Force and Florida State.

Last week BYU played Florida State strong for a half, as they only trailed 13-10 going into halftime, but that was it for the offense, as Florida State dominated the second half for an easy 34-10 victory. It looks as though the Cougars are going to have to rely on the arm of freshman quarterback Jake Heaps, as Riley Nelson is expected to miss the rest of the season with a shoulder injury. With Nelson out and Heaps struggling to get things going in the passing game, running back J.J. Di Luigi is going to have to be a huge part of the offense. Last week Di Luigi ran for a team best 93 yards and also led the team with three catches for 36 yards.

Looking at the Odds: I think you have to take Nevada to cover the 4-point spread in this game, as they just have more offensive fire power than the Cougars. BYU’s offense should look better against the Wolf Pack defense, but I don’t it will be near enough to keep them in the game, as I don’t think the Cougar’s defense has much of a shot at stopping the Nevada offensive attack. My final score prediction is Nevada 31, BYU 23.