2011 NFL Lockout Odds

Written by Anthony Moretti

Talks of a potential lockout in the NFL for the 2011 season is still buzzing around as a hot topic in the media. The NFL owners want to expand the regular season to 18 games, as well as take a bigger piece of the revenue pie, reducing the share to their players. It seems most players oppose stretching the regular season to 18 games and, of course, they don’t want their revenue share cut.

You’ll find opinions from every analyst in the business about what they think is going to happen. Some remain optimistic that the NFL will realize that it is at the height of its popularity and how disastrous for everyone a lockout would be. Other contend that the two sides are simply too far apart and will not be able to reach an agreement before the start of the season. Nobody really knows, but both sides seem to like fanning the flames around the story.

The important question is, how does Las Vegas view the odds that a lockout will occur? Over at BetUS they have recently posed their NFL lockout odds (listed below), which should give us a pretty good idea of where things currently stand.

Odds of an NFL Lockout in 2011

Yes – 1/3
No – 2/1

Unfortunately the long shot here is the “No” bet, meaning (in the sportsbook’s eyes at least) there is a much more likely chance that there is some kind of a lockout than their isn’t. This doesn’t mean it’s inevitable, but it is not a good sign for NFL fans.

BetUS has also posted odds on how long the lockout will last.

How long will the NFL Lockout last?

One Week – 1/1
Two to Three Weeks – 1/2
Four to Five Weeks – 6/5
Six to Seven Weeks – 3/2
Eight Weeks or More – 2/1

Additional Lockout Odds

Odds the 2011 NFL season starts on schedule – 2/1

Odds there is no Super Bowl in 2012 – 50/1

So the good news, if you can call it that, is that the odds show that the lockout is not expected to last that long. The most likely (according to these odds) is between two and three weeks of the regular season, while just one week is the second most likely. I do think the NFL’s image would be tarnished if the first few weeks of the season were canceled, but if they are at least able to get back to work by week four or sooner the damage could be minimized.

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