Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat
Written by Anthony Moretti - Google +
The Denver Nuggets head out on the road tonight to take on the Miami Heat in this showdown that is scheduled for a 7:30 PM ET tip-off. Handicapper Mike Cortright breaks down the game and provides his free prediction.
Denver enters this matchup as an 8 point underdog in this game. Denver has played some very good basketball over the past few weeks. Denver is 7-3 SU the last 10 games while going 9-1 ATS. Denver’s recent success over the last five games in which they are 4-1 SU and are 5-0 ATS has come on both sides of the ball where they are averaging 109 points per game and the defense for Denver allowing 94.6 points per game the last five games. Denver is 8-0 ATS the last 8 games against a team with a winning record. Denver is 4-0 ATS their last 4 games as a road underdog. Denver is 9-3 ATS the last 12 games following SU loss. Denver is 10-1 ATS the last 11 games following an ATS win.
Miami enters this matchup tonight after a blow win over Atlanta. The Heat are 4-1 SU the last 5 games while going 4-1 ATS. Miami is having success over the past five games thanks to the outstanding defense that they are playing. Miami is allowing just 86.8 points per game over the last five games while the offense is averaging 102.6 points per game. Miami though has struggled at home this season covering spreads going just 14-21 ATS at home on the season. The Heat is just 6-9 ATS this season at home against teams that are above .500. Miami is just 3-7 ATS their last 10 games as a favorite. Miami is just 2-5 ATS their last 7 games after scoring 100 plus points the previous game. The Heat is 1-4 ATS their last 5 games after a SU win by 10 or more points.
Miami has played much better basketball over the past few games but they are taking on a team in Denver who is playing much better then them over the past 10 games. This is a lot of points to give against a team that is playing much better since allowing Carmelo to go to NY and they seem to be playing more like a team rather then a 1 man show. Look for the Nuggets to give Miami a battle tonight and take this game down to the end. Play the road dog in this game to cash a free play winning ticket.
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