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Oklahoma State at Texas Spread

In a battle between Top 25 teams Saturday, the 6th-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys travel to face the No. 22 Texas Longhorns in Big 12 action. The Cowboys put to rest a 12-game losing streak to the Longhorns last season with a 33-16 victory in Austin as a 4-point favorite. It was one of seven losses for Texas last season, who appeared to have righted the ship in 2011 before a crushing loss to Oklahoma last week.

Due to that loss, and a blowout victory by the Cowboys last week, Oklahoma State is a 7.5-point favorite over Texas.

Oklahoma State

The Cowboys continue to go under the radar despite their unbeaten start to the season. Oklahoma State (5-0, 2-0 Big 12) has faced a pretty easy schedule, but they did beat then-No. 8 Texas A&M 30-29 on the road on September 24th. After a bye week, the Cowboys picked up right where they left off with a 70-28 victory over Kansas last Saturday.

Oklahoma State jumped out to a 56-7 lead over the Jayhawks by halftime. Brandon Weeden went 24 of 28 passing for 288 yards with five touchdowns in the first half alone, and he was not needed after intermission. The Cowboys’ defense came up big as well, forcing four first-half turnovers to help set up easy scoring opportunities. Justin Blackmon and Hebert Anyiam each caught a pair of touchdown passes from Weeden in the win.

The Cowboys rank 1st in the county in scoring offense (51.4 points/game) and 2nd in total offense (577.4 yards/game). Their defense has been giving up a lot of yardage in garbage time after big leads, which is the reason they are only 101st in total defense (438.0 yards/game). They are also 71st in scoring defense (27.6 points/game).

Weeden is completing 75.8 percent of his passes for 1,880 yards with 15 touchdowns to six interceptions. Blackmon remains his favorite target, catching 46 balls for 534 yards and six touchdowns. Josh Cooper (29 receptions, 315 yards, two TD) and Anyiam (22, 293, three TD) are also reliable weapons at receiver. Sophomore running back Joseph Randle has been solid with 484 rushing yards (5.4/carry) and eight scores.

Texas

Just as the Longhorns appeared to have turned it around this season, they laid an egg last week. Texas (4-1, 1-1 Big 12) opened the season with four straight victories, including three by 23 points or more. They seemed primed to put up a fight against Oklahoma last week and to prove that they were for real once again.

The game turned into a joke as Texas lost 55-17 to their arch rivals. How silly did it become? Late in the third quarter, Texas had a first-and-10 at the Oklahoma 15 which turned into a fourth-and-49 from its own 47. The ensuing punt didn’t even reach the first-down marker. Case McCoy lost two fumbles and David Ash threw two interceptions as the Longhorns committed five turnovers in all. Texas was outgained 453-259 for the game, and they were held to just 36 rushing yards on 45 carries.

It’s back to the drawing board for the Longhorns, who must find a way to get their offense going. Texas ranks 68th in the country in total offense (388.4 yards/game). Their defense has been pretty solid, though. The Longhorns rank 24th in total defense (321.8 yards/game) despite last week’s poor showing. The offense was mostly to blame for the blowout as Oklahoma had three defensive touchdowns in the game. Texas didn’t even have an offensive touchdown until there were only a few minutes remaining in the fourth quarter.

McCoy has been their best quarterback to this point, completing 66.0 percent of his passes for 451 yards with two touchdowns an no interceptions. Ash is completing 61.5 percent of his passes for 320 yards with three touchdowns and two picks. Malcolm Brown is their go-to back with 381 yards and one touchdown on the ground. Cody Johnson and Foswhitt Whittaker have each chipped in four rushing scores. Jaxon Shipley is by far their best receiver with 25 receptions for 369 yards and three touchdowns.

Betting Trends

The road team is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series. Oklahoma State has been a very prosperous bet over the last few years, going 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Cowboys are 21-5-2 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0, 22-6-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a road favorite, and 44-17-2 ATS in their lat 63 games as a favorite overall.

Texas has responded well in recent years from a bad home loss, going 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home. But the Longhorns are just 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games overall, 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.