Oregon State at California Betting Lines
Written November 4, 2009 by Rock Henderson
Two teams bunched in the middle of the Pac-10 will look to separate themselves when the Oregon State Beavers collide with the #20 California Golden Bears. Cal got off to a hot start as they were winners in their first three contests, but two blowout losses to Oregon and USC had people jumping off the Golden Bears bandwagon. The Beavers need one more win to become bowl eligible and their three losses have been to teams ranked in the top 20 in the nation. Both squads need this win to strengthen their case for a nice bowl game and build momentum for the final three games. Cal is listed as a 7 point favorite according to the latest college football betting odds.
Oregon State’s 5-3 record is a bit deceiving. They lost to Arizona and USC by a combined 11 points and a late touchdown gave the fifth ranked Cincinnati Bearcats at 10 point win in Corvallis. RB Jacquizz Rodgers continues to prove why he is considered one of the top backs in the conference. Although he lacks the size that some of the other top backs possess, Rodgers makes up for it with vision and strength. He will eclipse the 1,000 yard mark with 78 yards against Cal and has scored 14 touchdowns making himself a prime candidate for the Doak Walker Award. Brother James Rodgers has given OSU a real threat in the receiving game while being the backup running back for Jacquizz. The junior WR has caught 60 balls for 706 yards and five touchdowns. The offense is built around these two, but quarterback Sean Canfield has played exceptionally well. Canfield has thrown for 2039 yards and 11 touchdowns with just four interceptions. He threw for a season high 329 yards in their loss at USC and followed that performance up with 305 yards passing against UCLA. What is missing from this team is a defense that can get stops in key spots. They are allowing almost 25 ppg and have struggled to stop the opposition which puts more pressure on their explosive offense to get points on almost every possession. If you plan to do any NCAA football betting this season, you need to take advantage of this monster $500 match bonus from BetUS.
Cal’s running back in no slouch himself. Jahvid Best was has been electric for most of the season, but can be neutralized against good defenses. Oregon and USC shutdown the All-American candidate and in turn ran away with victories against the Bears. On the year, Best has run for 838 yards and scored 11 touchdowns. Head coach Jeff Tedford has started to use Best more in the passing game to make it more challenging for defenses to key on him. QB Kevin Riley has found Best through the air four times for a touchdown. Cal’s signal caller is flourishing under the tutelage of Tedford, who is known for developing NFL ready quarterbacks (e.g. Aaron Rodgers). Riley has thrown for 1805 yards and 13 touchdowns, while only being intercepted two times. His favorite target has been sophomore WR Marvin Jones as he leads the team in receptions with 22 and has five touchdowns.
These two teams are evenly matched with explosive offenses and somewhat suspect defenses. Oregon State has proven that it can put up a fight on the road against good teams with their 6 point defeat at USC. Cal is a wild card team and there is no reason to lay 7 in a game that is a coin flip on a neutral site. Play: Oregon State +7
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3 Responses to “Oregon State at California Betting Lines”
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Can’t disagree with the analysis, Cal should be more like a 3 point favorite but frankly, you’d be crazy to lay ANY money on this game. The odds makers have missed the spread on Cal games this season by close to 3 touchdowns! If they can’t figure the Bears out, what makes you think you can?
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Valid point sir. It is just my opinion on the game. I will be cashing in with the Oregon State Beavers, but if you decide not to play this game I fully understand why.
Good luck
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Rock, no disrespect intended, as I stated I consider your take on the game quite good. Cal has only covered 3 out of 8 games against the spread this season and has won their three Pac-10 contests against arguably the three worst teams in the conference. Still no team has confused oddsmakers more this season, the experts have been off by an average of 17 point in predicting Cal games. Last week was the first time the margin of victory was less than 2 touchdowns all season. When Cal is good they’re very very good and when they’re bad they’re @#$%!. Betting on this Jekyll and Hyde team just seems crazy risky.
Cal Opp Margin Spread Var Covered?
Marylnd 52 13 39 14 25 Y
E Wash 59 7 52 36.5 15.5 Y
Minn 35 21 14 14 0 N
Oregon 3 42 -39 7.5 46.5 N
USC 3 30 -27 -5.5 21.5 N
UCLA 45 26 19 3.5 15.5 Y
Wash St 49 17 32 35 3 N
Ariz St 23 21 2 7 5 N
Avg 34 22 12 17
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