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College Football Betting Lines: Oregon at UCLA

Written October 9, 2009 by Kyle Hunter

The Oregon Ducks had their season start in the worst of ways in Boise, but they have certainly turned things around since then and made this season one that could be special. The UCLA Bruins are 3-1, but they are coming off a hard fought loss at Stanford last weekend. While this one may not get the hype that a USC vs. UCLA game does, this one should be a very good Pac 10 battle. If you want to get serious about betting college football you need to take advantage of the $500 match bonus going on at BetUS. There’s simply no better offer out there!

Oregon looked absolutely pathetic in their opening night loss to Boise State, and it would have been easy for them to tank a couple games soon after, but the Ducks have rebounded in a big way. Their beat down of then #6 Cal 42-3 served notice that this team is for real. Jeremiah Masoli is the leader at quarterback, but he is a little dinged up after a knee injury last weekend. Masoli and his status are unclear for this key matchup. Masoli is definitely the catalyst for an offense that has been firing on all cylinders of late, especially running the football. Masoli and tailback LaMichael James have become the two main running weapons for the Ducks offense. Ed Dickson has emerged as the go to receiver with 22 catches and four touchdowns already this season. Maybe most importantly has been the success of the Oregon defense in the past three games. In the past three games they are giving up only 11 points per game and a miniscule 119.7 yards per game through the air.

UCLA has had a successful start to their season at 3-1, showing definite improvement from a year ago. The Bruins have had a consistent defense that allows opponents only 15.5 points per game and less than 100 yards per game on the ground. The UCLA offense has been a little lackluster, average a little less than 23 points per game, but they have gotten the job done when they had to most of the time. Kevin Prince is back as starter at quarterback for the Bruins and Prince has done a solid, but not spectacular job in his playing time so far this season. The Bruins have a solid running back in freshman Johnathan Franklin, but at times the running game has gone away when they needed it. To seriously compete in the Pac 10 the Bruins will need more from their offense.

The Ducks opened as 6 point favorites at UCLA, but the college football odds now show that the line has moved to Oregon by just 3.5. The line movement is almost certainly due to the news that Masoli will likely not be starting this weekend. Oregon is 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 games, but UCLA is 21-6 against the spread in their last 27 home games. The posted total of 46.5 points is much lower than your average Pac 10 game.

Masoli and his ability to play will be key in this game, but no matter if he plays or not Oregon will want to establish the run. UCLA has one of the top ranked run defenses in the country, so something will have to give. Given UCLA’s solid defense and lack of an explosive offense the guess here is that this game stays pretty low scoring, probably going under the total. If Masoli is unable to play, the edge goes to the Bruins at home.

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