Patriots Jets Line

Written by Steve Janus

The New York Jets are set to host the New England Patriots in a AFC East showdown that could decide who wins the division. The Patriots beat the Jets 30-21 at home back in week 5, but the two teams have been on different paths since that game. New York has won three straight to improve to 5-3, while the Patriots have lost back-t0-back games to fall to 5-3. Both teams are tied with Buffalo for the division lead, but many believe the winner of this division will come down to these two teams.

Taking a look at the week 10 NFL spreads, oddsmakers currently have New York favored by 2-points over New England with the total set at 47.5 points.

New England Patriots:

The Patriots will try and avoid losing three straight for the first time since losing four in a row back in 2002. While the Patriots defense has received a lot of the blame, New England has been held to 20 points or less in each of their last three games.

In their last game against the Giants New England was held to just three points over the first three periods. The offense would finally get going in the fourth quarter, as they took a 20-17 lead with just 1:36 left to play. The defense was unable to make one final stop, as Eli Manning led the Giants down the field for the game-winning touchdown.

Tom Brady threw for 342 yards and two touchdowns, but also had two interceptions. Brady spent most of the game throwing to wide out Wes Welker and tight end Rob Gronkowski. Welker led the way with nine catches for 136 yards, while Gronkowski had eight receptions for 101 yards and a score.

Earlier this season in the win over the Jets, Brady went 24 of 33 for 321 yards, but the big story of that game was the way New England ran the ball against the Jets defense. BenJarvus Green-Ellis carried it 27 times for 136 yards and two touchdowns. The Jets defense hasn’t been so kind to opposing offenses since allowing 446 yards to the Patriots. During their three game winning streak New York has allowed just under 13 points and 288 yards of total offense a game.

New York Jets:

After that tough loss in New England, some questioned whether the Jets were still a serious playoff contender. New York has responded with three impressive wins, but none of that will matter to this team if they don’t find a way to beat New England on Sunday. New York is a perfect 4-0 at home this season and have won each of their last two games at home against the Patriots.

The Jets offense is really starting to take the form everyone expected to see coming into the season. In the first five games it seemed like the Jets were pressing on getting their passing attack going, but have since put the emphasis on running the football and playing exceptional defense.

In the last game against the Bills New York got 76 yards from Shonn Greene, 27 from Joe McKnight, and another 18 from LaDainian Tomlinson. It was the third straight game where the Jets finished with at least 100 yards on the ground.

The running game seems to be helping the passing game get on track as well. Mark Sanchez went 20 of 28 for 230 yards and a touchdown. This is the type of performance the Jets need from their young quarterback.

The first time around against the Patriots, New York’s offense struggled to get much of anything going. While Sanchez had a nice game with 166 yards and two touchdowns, New York was able to manage just 97 yards on the ground. Whether or not the Jets can get the ground game going will likely be the deciding factor in this one. The Patriots are 9th in the NFL against the run, allowing just 102.3 ypg,

Betting Trends:

New England is 25-10-1 ATS in their last 36 games following a S.U. loss.

New York is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Be sure to stop back and check out who Steve Janus has picked to win this week in the NFL.

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