Penn State at Illinois Free Football Picks

Written October 2, 2009 by Jack Jones

Our football handicappers are taking a deep look at the Penn State at Illinois Big Ten battle this weekend to see if the Nittany Lions can bounce back from their loss to Iowa a week ago. The college football lines makers seem to think so as Penn State is listed as 7-point favorites over Illinois with the total listed at 47. If you are going to do any football betting on this game or others this weekend then take a look at the 50% signup bonus and $25 FREE bet offered by Sportsbook.com. If you want the best chance of winning this game then sign up for the premium college football picks offered by our experts.

Mitch Wilson has an afternoon TV special 3-pack going as he is ready for a monster afternoon of action Saturday. Cash in with one of the best new handicappers in the business as he delivers with his first week on our site. Jamie Tursini isn’t new to winning, and he’s ready to continue his domination with his Bookie Buster monster winner going here on the Penn State/Illinois odds.

One of the free football picks offered this week is on Illinois +8. John Ryan has the analysis: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Illinois as they host Penn State set to start at 3:30 EST. AiS shows a 73% probability that Illinois will lose this game by 7 or fewer points and has a 46% probability of winning the game. PSU is obviously smarting from the humiliating loss last week at home to the hands of Iowa. They truly believed that they were a national contender and now they may not even be the Big-10 Champion. In fact, they could be out of the Big-10 race with a loss here today. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 66-31 for 68% winners since 2004 and has gone 43-18 over the past 3 seasons. Play on home dogs after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games and sporting a win percentage of 25% to 40% playing a team with a winning record. Illinois will be sharp on offense and one of the dominant reasons is that they have returned 8 starters and the QB from last year’s edition. The biggest factor in this game is that PSU will want to establish the run and probably will accomplish that task, but not extensively. AiS shows an 85% probability that PSU will rush for between 100 and 150 yards. Note that PSU is just 12-29 ATS when they rush for 100 to 150 yards since 1992. PSU offensive line has been horrid in all games even against the inferior opponents and Iowa surely exposed it last week. The problems they have on the OL cannot be resolved in a week’s time. Illinois HC Zook is a strong 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) vs. incredible defensive teams who give up 12 or less points/game. Take Illinois.

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