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Point Spreads for Every Super Bowl

Written January 28, 2008 by Jack Jones

The New England Patriots are currently 11-point favorites against the New York Giants, but betting fans are wondering how much it may change before the game. When Vegas first learned of the match-up they set the line at 14, and in just one week it has dropped 3 points. There is still one week till the two teams take the field, and fans might see another drop in the line. We don’t see the line moving much more from where it’s at, but if Brady’s injury becomes more severe the line would drop dramatically. Many think that if the Giants win next weekend it would be the biggest upset in Super Bowl History.

Those who have bet on previous Super Bowls know that a team favored by 11-points is not the biggest margin seen before. If you go back to 2002 when New England took on the St Louis Rams, at kick-off the Patriots were 14-point underdogs. So we decided to take a look at every Super Bowl and see what kind of spreads there have been. Below is a table that lists the spreads and winners from each Super Bowl ever played.

YEAR	SUPER BOWL	TEAMS (NFC v. AFC)	SPREAD	SCORE	WINNER	ATS WINNER
66-67	I	GB vs. KC	GB -17	35-10	GB	GB (-17)
67-68	II	GB vs. OAK	GB -13	33-14	GB	GB (-13)
68-69	III	BAL vs. NYJ	BAL -17	16-7	NYJ	NYJ (+17)
69-70	IV	MIN vs. KC	MIN -10	23-7	KC	KC (+10)
70-71	V	DAL vs. BAL	DAL -1	16-13	BAL	BAL (+1)
71-72	VI	DAL vs. MIA	DAL -5	24-3	DAL	DAL (-5)
72-73	VII	WAS vs. MIA	WAS -2	14-7	MIA	MIA (+2)
73-74	VIII	MIN vs. MIA	MIA -6	24-7	MIA	MIA (-6)
74-75	IX	MIN vs. PIT	PIT -3	16-6	PIT	PIT (-3)
75-76	X	DAL vs. PIT	PIT -7	21-17	PIT	DAL (+7)
76-77	XI	MIN vs. OAK	OAK -5	32-14	OAK	OAK (-5)
77-78	XII	DAL vs. DEN	DAL -5	27-10	DAL	DAL (-5)
78-79	XIII	DAL vs. PIT	PIT -4	35-31	PIT	PUSH
79-80	XIV	LA vs. PIT	PIT -11	31-19	PIT	PIT (-11)
80-81	XV	PHI vs. OAK	PHI -3	27-10	OAK	OAK (+3)
81-82	XVI	SF vs. CIN	SF -2	26-21	SF	SF (-2)
82-83	XVII	WAS vs. MIA	MIA -2	27-17	WAS	WAS (+2)
83-84	XVIII	WAS vs. OAK	WAS -3	38-9	OAK	OAK (+3)
84-85	XIX	SF vs. MIA	SF -3	38-16	SF	SF (-3)
85-86	XX	CHI vs. NE	CHI -11	46-10	CHI	CHI (-11)
86-87	XXI	NYG vs. DEN	NYG -9	39-20	NYG	NYG (-9)
87-88	XXII	WAS vs. DEN	DEN -3	42-10	WAS	WAS (+3)
88-89	XXIII	SF vs. CIN	SF -7	20-16	SF	CIN (+7)
89-90	XXIV	SF vs. DEN	SF -12	55-10	SF	SF (-12)
90-91	XXV	NYG vs. BUF	BUF -7	20-19	NYG	NYG (+7)
91-92	XXVI	WAS vs. BUF	WAS -7	37-24	WAS	WAS (-7)
92-93	XXVII	DAL vs. BUF	DAL -6.5	52-17	DAL	DAL (-6.5)
93-94	XXVIII	DAL vs. BUF	DAL -10.5	30-13	DAL	DAL (-10.5)
94-95	XXIX	SF vs. SD	SF -18	49-26	SF	SF (-18)
95-96	XXX	DAL vs. PIT	DAL -13.5	27-17	DAL	PIT (+13.5)
96-97	XXXI	GB vs. NE	GB -14	35-21	GB	PUSH
97-98	XXXII	GB vs. DEN	GB -12	31-24	DEN	DEN (+12)
98-99	XXXIII	ATL vs. DEN	DEN -7.5	34-19	DEN	DEN (-7.5)
99-00	XXXIV	STL vs. TEN	STL -7	23-16	STL	PUSH
00-01	XXXV	NYG vs. BAL	BAL -3	34-7	BAL	BAL (-3)
01-02	XXXVI	STL vs. NE	STL -14	20-17	NE	NE (+14)
02-03	XXXVII	TB vs. OAK	OAK -3.5	48-21	TB	TB (+3.5)
03-04	XXXVIII	CAR vs. NE	NE -7	32-29	NE	CAR (+7)
04-05	XXXIX	PHI vs. NE	NE -4	24-21	NE	PHI (+4)
05-06	XL	SEA vs. PIT	PIT -4	21-10	PIT	PIT (-4)
06-07	XLI	CHI vs. IND	IND -7	29-17	IND	IND (-7)

So you can easily see that there have been 13 games where the spread has been in double-digits. 8 times the favorite came out on top, losing 5 times, and pushing once. The biggest upset by point spread came back in Super Bowl III, when The New York Jets defeated the Baltimore Colts after coming into the game as 17-point underdogs. The safe bet is always on the favorite, but the Patriots are facing a red-hot Giant team that will take their perfect road record to the test. A couple interesting points to think about are. These same two teams played just a few weeks ago and the Patriots only won that game by three points. Another interesting thing is where this game is going to be played, the Patriots were destroying teams when the weather was warm, and once it went cold so did their ability to cover the huge Vegas spreads.

The reason people are saying that this year’s game could be the biggest upset is because they Patriots are undefeated. No team has ever finished the season at 19-0, and in a league where teams are suppose to be more evenly balanced than other sports, makes this feat something of special importance. So if you like the Giants get your bets in now, because we don’t see the line going up. For those of you who think the Patriots are going to win easy, you might want to wait a few days and see if you can’t get a point or two more off the spread.

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