Seattle Seahawks at Washington Redskins Odds
The Washington Redskins (10-6, 5-3 home) welcome the Seattle Seahawks (11-5, 3-5 away) to FedEx Field on Sunday, January 6th in an NFC Wild Card battle. These are two of the biggest surprise teams in the league as neither was expected to make the playoffs coming into the year. Taking a look at the pro football odds in Las Vegas, I find a line of Seattle -3 over Washington and a total set of 46 points.
Why Seattle Covers
The Seahawks have been the most dominant team in the league over the past month. They have gone 5-0 straight up and 4-1 against the spread in their last five games overall with all five victories coming by 6 points or more. In fact, they have outscored their last five opponents a combined 193-60 in the process.
There’s no question that Seattle has the better defense, and we all know that defense tends to reign supreme in the playoffs. It is allowing just 15.3 points per game this season while ranking 4th in the league in total defense at 305.7 yards per game. Washington is yielding 24.2 points per game while ranking 28th in the league in total defense at 377.7 yards per game.
This play falls into a system that is 52-27 (65.8%) ATS since 1983. It tells us to bet against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) – terrible defensive team (allowing at least 370 YPG) against an average defensive team (295 to 335 YPG).
Seattle is 9-1 against the spread when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. The Seahawks are 7-0 against the spread vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. Seattle is 6-0 against the spread vs. good offensive teams – scoring 24 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Why Washington Covers
The Redskins are one of the hottest teams in the league entering the playoffs. After a 3-6 start, it appeared that they would be just playing for pride the rest of the way. They weren’t having any of it, going on to win each of their final seven games to win the NFC East and earn a first-round home game. They have gone a perfect 7-0 against the spread in the process.
Seattle’s strength offensively is a rushing attack that ranks 3rd in the league at 161.2 yards per game. Washington counters with the 5th-ranked run defense in the NFL at 95.8 yards per game.
The Redskins’ strength on offense is a rushing attack that ranks 1st in the league at 169.3 yards per game. If the Seahawks have one weakness defensively, it’s their ability to stop the run. They are giving up a whopping 4.5 yards per carry this season.
This play falls into a system that is 47-20 (70.1%) ATS since 1983. It tells us to bet against road favorites (SEATTLE) – after covering the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season.
Seattle is just 3-5 straight up and 3-5 against the spread on the road this season. The Seahawks are 22-43 against the spread off a win against a division rival since 1992. Washington is 7-0 against the spread after playing a home game this season. The Redskins are 7-0 against the spread in their last 7 games following a win, and 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.