Rutgers at Cincinnati Football Odds & Picks
Written October 10, 2008 by Jack Jones

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Rutgers has fallen and fallen quickly. After winning 21 games over the last two seasons, the Scarlet Knights have won just once in five tries this year and that victory came against FCS team Morgan St. This past weekend, they lost at West Virginia in a game that should not have been as close as the final score ended up. Rutgers was outgained by 63 total yards including 103 yards on the ground. It was getting two touchdowns and despite the loss, its gets close to a touchdown less against an arguably better team. The college football odds on this game are out and show Rutgers as a 7-point underdog to Cincinnati.
The Bearcats had no problem with Marshall on Friday night and the significant part was the rushing edge. Cincinnati outgained the Thundering Herd 203-90 on the ground and it should be able to get an edge against Rutgers as well. The Bearcats have had Rutgers number the last two years as they were able to win both meetings and even more importantly, they were able to win the rushing battle both times. And this was with Ray Rice in the backfield for Rutgers who is now gone.
Right now Rutgers is relying upon the passing game to generate offense, notably receiver Kenny Britt, who is coming off his eighth 100-yard game for the Scarlet Knights. The problem now is that Rutgers squares off against arguably the two best corners in the Big East in Mike Mickens and DeAngelo Smith. Mickens has already tied Cincinnati’s career record for interceptions with 12, three of which were returned for touchdowns, while Smith shared the national lead in interceptions with eight in 2007.
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Overall, Rutgers is ranked 83rd in the nation in total offense and 100th in scoring offense. This comes after finishing 18th and 33rd respectively a season ago. It shows how valuable a running back like Rice means to an offense. Cincinnati is 54th in total defense but it should be ranked higher as most of the defensive damage came against Oklahoma as it allowed 592 total yards. Take that out and the defense is allowing 280.5 ypg in the other four games which would put it 22nd in the country.
This is a double revenge game for Rutgers but means little at this point, especially with it playing this one on the road. The revenge road angle is very overrated in my opinion and it is an angle that should not be used in a game such as this. The Bearcats are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a losing record and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games. Look for the domination to continue as Cincinnati begins Big East action with an easy victory. Play Cincinnati Bearcats 1.5 Units at Sportsbook.com.
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