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Saints at Redskins Odds

After making a statement at home against the Patriots last Monday night, New Orleans takes their perfect 11-0 record on the road to face a Washington Redskins team that has been playing much better ball of late. Drew Brees has had an MVP caliber season throwing for 3,117 yards with 27 touchdowns to 9 interceptions. What he does more then any other quarterback in the game is spread the ball out to several different receivers, tight ends and running backs. With Reggie Bush being banged up a lot this season, Pierre Thomas and Mike Bell have been the one-two punch that has solidified the Saints running game. They have combined for 1,212 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, they have shocked the league. Allowing only 20 points per game, they have improved in every single statistical area from last season. Praising an 11-0 team is easy to do, today though is far from a walk through the park. Washington has had a resurgence this year and has the defense to give the Saints fits. The x-factor today for the road team will be the wide receivers as a group. Sharp routes and constant focus is what we have seen from them, if they roll into D.C. today with the mindset that this win is in the bag, we may very well be talking about a major upset.  Our current lines show The Saints as 10 point road favorites with an over/under set for 47 points.

The Hogs have let down that city in a big way this season. The amount of money spent on this team should not reflect a 3-8 record headed into week 12. Jason Campbell has been this teams most controversial player as many believe he is not the man to lead this team from the quarterback position. Campbell has thrown for 2,357 yards with 12 touchdowns to 11 interceptions but it has been the terrible decision making and careless nature with the ball that has Redskins fans on edge. The running game is what was supposed to be the given in terms of success, it hasn’t been. Clinton Portis has been banged up all season long (what a shock) and Ladell Betts has not been very effective since replacing him rushing for 3.7 yards per carry while also lacking break away capability. Santana Moss leads an average at best receiving core with 44 catches for 574 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns this season. On the defensive side of the ball Washington has every right to flex their muscles as that is the main reason they have been competitive lately. They allow only 18.6 points per game and hold teams to 298 total yards of offense on average. What is most impressive about their defense and what could be a serious factor in today’s game is that their secondary is second to none. Allowing a mere 170 passing yards per game, the Skins corners and safeties will be ready to get their hands dirty tonight, you can count on that. The x-factor for the home team if they plan on shocking the NFL world will be the offensive line. They MUST establish the run today as time of possession will be crucial. If they rush for 135+ yards, they will be in it until the very end.  You can now get a $100 match bonus at Bodog that you can use to bet the NFL this season.

Haimo’s Hot Notes:

Redskins are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in December.

Redskins are 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.

Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.

Saints are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.

Saints are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.

Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Jordan’s Picks: Redskins +10 & Under 47 Points