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Saints Titans Spread

The Tennessee Titans host the New Orleans Saints Sunday in Week 14 NFL action. This is a pivotal non-conference game between two teams on the verge of making the playoffs. It’s a rare meeting for these squads as they have only squared off three times since the Titans moved their franchise from Houston to Tennessee. The Titans have won all three contests, including a 31-14 road victory in their most recent meeting in 2007.

Interested in wagering on this game? You will find a line of New Orleans -3.5 over Tennessee and a total set of 48.5 points.

New Orleans

The Saints have been dominant at home all season, which has helped them take a two-game lead on the Atlanta Falcons in the NFC South division. New Orleans (9-3, 3-3 away) has only been mediocre on the road. After back-to-back blowout home victories, the Saints will hit the road for the first time since topping Atlanta 26-23 in overtime back on November 13th. This team is riding a four-game winning streak while clearly playing their best football of the season at the right time.

New Orleans is fresh off a 31-17 throttling of the Detroit Lions. Of course, this game should have been closer than the final score indicated, but the Lions continued to beat themselves. Detroit only managed 17 points despite outgaining the Saints 466-438 for the game. The Lions would commit 11 penalties for 107 yards, which really cost them. New Orleans played nearly flawless football, committing only three penalties for 30 yards while not turning the ball over once. Drew Brees was brilliant, completing 26 of 36 passes for 342 yards with three touchdowns.

The Saints rank 1st in the league in total offense (448.7 yards/game) and 1st in scoring (32.8 points/game). However, they are just 27th in total defense (378.8 yards/game). Brees is completing 70.4 percent of his passes for 4,031 yards with 30 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. He became the first quarterback in NFL history to top the 4,000-yard mark through his first 12 games.

Mark Ingram is having a solid rookie season, leading the team with 474 rushing yards and five touchdowns. Darren Sproles has proven to be one of the best offseason additions in the league. Sproles has rushed for 430 yards while also catching 67 balls for 522 yards with six total touchdowns. Jimmy Graham has emerged as one of the top tight ends in the game with 75 receptions for 1,046 yards and eight scores.

Tennessee

The Titans have been one of the bigger surprises in the league this season after having little expectations coming into 2011. Tennessee (7-5, 4-2 home) is tied with four other teams for the final wild card spot, though they are No. 7 in the current AFC standings due to tiebreakers and would be out of the playoffs if the season were to end today. They have put themselves in this position thanks to back-to-back wins over Tampa Bay and Buffalo by identical finals of 23-17.

In their road win at Buffalo last Sunday, the Titans were once again led by Chris Johnson. Their star running back rushed for 153 yards and two touchdowns. After being held to under 100 yards seven times in his first eight games, Johnson has now topped the century mark in three of this last four contests. The Bills did outgain the Titans 379-317 for the game, but Buffalo also committed two costly fumbles while Tennessee didn’t give it away once. Matt Hasselbeck didn’t have to do much, completing 16 of 25 passes for 140 yards in the win.

Tennessee ranks 22nd in total offense (319.3 yards/game) and 18th in total defense (355.3 yards/game). A big reason for their success this season is that they are +5 in turnovers, and they are also the top offense in the league in red zone touchdown efficiency. Hasselbeck is completing 60.9 percent of his passes for 2,657 yards with 15 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Johnson has rushed for 852 yards and four scores. Nate Washington has emerged as their top receiver, catching 54 balls for 668 yards and four touchdowns.

Betting Trends

Tennessee is 8-1 ATS versus poor rushing defenses – allowing >=4.5 rushing yards/carry in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

New Orleans is 20-38 ATS in their last 58 after allowing 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game.