How Each Seed Has Done in the Tournament
Written March 18, 2009 by Jack Jones
Who is excited for the tournament? Sixty-four teams are going to be battling it out over the next four days and only 16 of them will be left standing come Sunday night. For the opening round that’s a lot of teams to do your homework on if you want to be successful with your college basketball betting. If you are looking for a place to bet, consider Bodog with their 10% signup bonus and easy deposit methods!
Let’s take the analytical approach for those of you who might not want to spend the time breaking down each matchup. Let’s look at the seeds and which ones have performed best since the 64-team format began back in 1985. Even though we might not agree with all of the seeds, what the NCAA Tournament committee hands us is their power rankings on how they see the teams stacking up. Let’s use that knowledge to try and make a little cash with our NCAA basketball picks.
For those filling out their brackets, asking who is going to win the game straight up is really all that matters. No. 1 seeds are a perfect 96-0, while No. 2 seeds come in at an impressive 92-4. Basically, don’t get too crazy with upsets here. Three seeds are 81-15 against 14s, while Four seeds are 79-17 against 13s. Again, if you play against these numbers more likely than not you are going to wreck your bracket rather than find a gem. With five seeds though things start to get interesting, with their record at 65-31, worse than six seeds who are 66-30. Seven seeds have been impressive over tens, going 60-36. You could find an advantage by sticking with the sevens as your peers throw in a casual upset. Another surprise and possible advantage is taking nines over eights, who are 52-44 against their higher seeded opponents.
Now let’s focus on some stats for the following rounds, where only twice has a 14-seed made the Sweet Sixteen and no team lower than a 12-seed has ever made the Elite Eight. Only nine times has a No. 1 seed fallen in the 2nd round, so picking that eight or nine to beat them probably doesn’t make for sound strategy.
For those of you worrying about the NCAA basketball point spreads, let’s take a look at ATS stats. All data goes back to 1998 and No. 1 seeds have gone 24-20 against 16s, but are 20-24 ATS in the second round. No. 15s are 26-17 against No. 2s and 14s are 26-18 against 3s. The four seeds do a good job of getting back on track, going 24-18 against the 13s. Over the last seven tournaments six seeds are 17-11 ATS over 11s and seven seeds are 20-8 ATS against tens. Whoever you decide to take, make sure you have a quality sportsbook with plenty of deposit options like BodogLife!
If you liked this article, you may also be interested in:
- Easy Way to Fill Out NCAA Tournament Bracket
- NCAA Tournament Facts & Figures
- 2009 NCAA Tournament Recap: First Two Rounds
- Betting the Top NCAA Tournament Seeds
- March Madness Tips: Did You Know?
One Response to “How Each Seed Has Done in the Tournament”
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Although 7s beat 10s more often in Rd 1, once the 10s win their first game, they will beat up on the 2s at a higher rate 46% to 29.5% as of now (50% to 30% before this year). p value=.091
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