Tampa Bay at Philadelphia Free NFL Picks

Written October 11, 2009 by Jack Jones

It is the return of Donovan McNabb, but will that mean a blowout when the Tampa Bay Bucs visit the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday? The NFL lines makers think so as currently the Eagles are 15-point chalk with the over/under set at 41.5 for this one. If you want a great chance at winning your wager here then get signed up for the NFL football picks offered by some of the best football handicappers in the business. These guys have experience with NFL betting and have been helping their clients cash in for years. If you are looking for a great place to get your action in, then take a look at the 50% signup bonus and $25 FREE BET being offered by Sportsbook.com!

One of the free NFL picks for Sunday comes from John Ryan and he’s taking the Bucs +15.5: My Ai Simulator has a 3* graded play on Tampa Bay as they travel to face the Philadelphia Eagles set to start at 1:00 EST. AiS shows a 73% probability that Tampa Bay will lose this game by 12 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that ahs gone 50-21 ATS since 1983. Play against home favorites of 10.5 or more points after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games and is a good team winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. Now, here is a very simple system that reflects the parity that has dominating NFL play for yeas and years. The system has produced a solid 76-41 ATS mark for 65% winners since 2003. Play on road dogs or pick off a road loss. So, this system reflects poor play one week and in certain cases a complete polar opposite the next.

The fundamentals do show some advantages for TB in this game. Over the first 4 weeks defenses have lined 8 men in the box and simply played run since the now benched Leftwich had difficulty even making the simplest reads and executing pass plays. TB has 3 strong running backs and 2nd year QB Johnson has the arm strength to throw vertical routes with success. The line backer corp of the Eagles are a weak bunch and I strongly believe you will see Tampa pound the ball between the tackles. That in turn sets up easy and well protected play action pass opportunities. This game, believe it or not, will be a whole closer than the line shows. Take Tampa Bay.

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