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Texas A&M at Oklahoma Spread

Two teams that many expected to compete for a Big 12 title meet up Saturday in Week 10 college football action. The sixth-ranked Oklahoma Sooners host the Texas A&M Aggies in a rematch from last year’s 33-19 upset victory by A&M. Ryan Tannehill threw for 225 yards and two touchdowns, while Cyrus Gray rushed for 122 yards and a score. It was a rare win in this series for the Aggies, who had lost their previous seven meetings. While this game still means a lot to both schools, it has a lot less riding on it than what most fans had hoped for heading into 2011.

According to the latest odds, Oklahoma is a 13.5-point favorite over Texas A&M and the total is set at 68.5 points.

Oklahoma

After cruising to a 6-0 start with six straight double-digit victories, the Sooners suffered a hiccup on October 22nd with a 41-38 home loss to the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Their defense was gashed for 572 total yards, and kicker Michael Hunnicutt missed a pair of field goals from inside the 40-yard line. The loss put an end to a 39-game home winning streak for the Sooners.

Oklahoma (7-1, 4-1 Big 12) would bounce back with an impressive 58-17 road victory over then-No. 8 Kansas State last Saturday. After trailing 14-17, the Sooners would score the game’s final 44 points in a lopsided affair. Quarterback Landry Jones threw for a school-record 505 yards and five touchdowns, and All-American wide receiver Ryan Broyles finished with 14 receptions for 171 yards and a score.

The Sooners rank 2nd in the country in total offense (563.6 yards/game) and 5th in scoring offense (46.0 points/game). They are 35th in total defense (339.4 yards/game) and 20th in scoring defense (19.1 points/game). Jones is completing 66.5 percent of his passes for 3,094 yards and 26 touchdowns to nine interceptions. Broyles has an FBS-best 81 receptions for 1,070 yards and 10 touchdowns, and Dominique Whaley has rushed for 627 yards and nine scores. But Whaley suffered a broken ankle against Kansas State and he’s now out for the season, which means most of the carries will go to Roy Finch (259 yards, two TD).

Texas A&M

The Aggies are arguably the best 5-3 team in the country. The problem with this squad is that they continue to shoot themselves in the foot. Texas A&M (5-3, 3-2 Big 12) has three losses this season by a combined 12 points. They led 20-3 in a 30-29 loss to then-No. 7 Oklahoma State, led 35-17 in a 42-38 loss to then-No. 18 Arkansas, and led 28-14 in a 38-31 overtime loss to Missouri last Saturday. As you can see, they have now blown three leads of 14 points or more this season.

James Franklin threw two touchdown passes and ran for two more to lead the Tigers to a huge comeback victory on Saturday. He found Marcus Lucas on an 11-yard touchdown pass in overtime, but the Aggies had their chance to tie it. Texas A&M was stopped on downs when Tannehill’s pass on fourth down was deflected. Despite racking up 500 yards of total offense, the Aggies were done in by three turnovers, which really proved to be the difference. They wasted a big game from Tannehill, who threw for 317 yards and three touchdowns.

Texas A&M has had no troubles moving the football this season as they rank 7th in the FBS in total offense (519.8 yards/game) and 12th in scoring offense (39.3 points/game). Tannehill is completing 65.4 percent of his passes for 2,322 yards with 18 touchdowns to seven interceptions. Christine Michael (811 yards, eight TD) and Cyrus Gray (704 yards, seven TD) form perhaps the best running back combo in the country. Ryan Swope (52 receptions, 725 yards, seven TD) and Jeff Fuller (44, 468, three TD) are two excellent receivers. What has hurt them is a stop unit that ranks 91st in the country in total defense (423.7 yards/game). They are 113th in the land against the pass (318.3 yards/game), and they’ll certainly be tested by Jones and company this weekend.

Betting Trends

The home team is 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this series.

Oklahoma is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games, and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or more.

The Aggies are just 20-41-1 ATS in their last 62 road games, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. However, Texas A&M is a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 November games.