2011 Travelers Championship Predictions


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After a thrilling week at Congressional, where 22-year-old Rory McIllroy dominated the field at the U.S. Open, the PGA TOUR season continues on with the 2011 Travelers Championship at TPC River Highlands.  While McIllroy and many of the other big names won’t be in action this week, eight players who finished in the top 25 at U.S. Open will.

This tournament has followed the U.S. Open since 2003, and has been a pleasant stop for those who have struggled with the grueling challenge of the second major of the season. While that isn’t exactly the case this year, as the U.S. Open didn’t  live up to its standard of difficulty, you won’t find anyone complaining about how easy the course plays this week. TPC River Highlands is the third-shortest course on the schedule, and has seen a number of low scores posted over the years.

Bubba Watson won this event in 2010 with a 14-under 266, but he wasn’t the only player scoring low, as 20 players finished at 10-under or better. In 2009 Kenny Perry set the course record with a 22-under 258.  14-under seems to be the mark to get to, as five of the last nine winners have won with that score, and only once in the last 13 years has someone won with a lower score ( 2004: Woody Austin, 10-under).

For those of you looking to place a wager on the event this weekend, here is a look at three golfers I feel have a great shot at winning, plus their current odds to win heading into the opening round this Thursday.

Hunter Mahan (+1000) – Despite missing the cut at the U.S. Open last week, Mahan is the odds on favorite to take home the trophy this week. When you look at what he has done here in recent years, it’s easy to see why. Mahan won this event in 2007 with a 15-under 265, finished tied for 2nd in 2008 and tied for fourth in 2009. He also finished tied for 2nd in 2006. His game really fits this course well. He is 17th in total driving, 4th in greens in regulation, and 25th in putting. While some may steer clear of him after his disappointing showing last week, I believe that will only fuel him to come out and play well this week. He has nine top 20 finishes this season, and will come in with a ton of confidence from his past success at this event.

Zach Johnson (+2000) - Johnson got off to a strong start at the U.S. Open, but struggled down the stretch. Again we aren’t looking to much into how these players did last week. With the short distance of this course, Johnson won’t be at a huge disadvantage off the tee like he is in so many other tournaments. He is currently 8th in driving accuracy and should have no trouble reaching the greens in regulation this week. He has finished in the top 25 at this event in three straight starts, and if he can get the putter going early, he should be right there with a great chance to win come Sunday.

Ricky Barnes (+5000) – Barnes is a huge sleeper pick for this tournament, and at +5000 he is too good to pass up. He should be fresh and ready to go after not playing in the U.S. Open last week. The big reason I like Barnes to finish high this week, is the huge amount of success he had at this event last year. Barnes was tied for the lead going into the final round last year after a 64 on Saturday, but managed to shoot just 68 on Sunday to end up two shots back. There simply isn’t a player in the field with better value than what Barnes is coming in at.

Complete Travelers Championship Odds

Hunter Mahan +1000
Nick Watney +1500
Zach Johnson +2000
Bubba Watson +2000
David Toms +2000
Brandt Snedeker +2000
Bo Van Pelt +2500
Webb Simpson +2500
Ryan Moore +3000
Fredrik Jacobson +3500
Ian Poulter +3500
Jim Furyk +3500
Padraig Harrington +4000
Lucas Glover +4000
Geoff Ogilvy +4500
Aaron Baddeley +4500
J.B Holmes +4500
Kevin Streelman +4500
Ricky Barnes +5000
Charley Hoffman +5000
Ben Curtis +5500
Vijay Singh +5500
Carl Pettersson +5500
Brandt Jobe +5500
Scott Verplank +6000
Heath Slocum +6000
Martin Laird +6000
Spencer Levin +6000
Ben Crane +6500
Brian Davis +6500
Paul Goydos +6500
Kevin Na +6500
Keegan Bradley +7000
Chad Campbell +7000
DJ Trahan +7000
Sean O’Hair +7500
John Rollins +7500
JJ Henry +7500
Pat Perez +8000
Charlie Wi +8000
Brendon De Jonge +8000
Tim Clark +9000
Kevin Chappell +9000
Anthony Kim +9000
Boo Weekley +9000
Chris Couch +10000
Troy Matteson +10000
Stephen Ames +10000
Chris Riley +10000
Greg Chalmers +10000
Jhonattan Vegas +10000
Nick O’ Hern +10000
Vaughan Taylor +10000
Tim Herron +10000
Kenny Perry +10000
Andres Romero +10000
Trevor Immelman +10000
Bryce Molder +10000
Corey Pavin +10000
Arjun Atwal +10000
Jerry Kelly +12500
Chris Kirk +12500
Matt Jones +12500
Blake Adams +12500
Kyle Stanley +12500
Stuart Appleby +12500
Cameron Tringale +12500
Kris Blanks +15000
Justin Leonard +15000
Johnson Wagner +15000
David Mathis +15000
Michael Putnam +15000
Jason Bohn +15000
Kevin Stadler +15000
Scott Stallings +15000

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