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2010 PapaJohns.com Bowl Preview: Connecticut vs South Carolina

Written December 29, 2009 by John Ryan

Professional handicapper John Ryan breaks down the 2010 PapaJohns.com Bowl for us in his most recent article. John is already 5-2 early in the 2009 bowl season and dating back to last season he’s posted an incredible 18-3 mark on his last 20 college bowl picks! Now here’s his preview of Saturday’s game between Connecticut and South Carolina. Our college football odds show the Gamecocks as 4.5 point favorites.

This has been one of the best bowl seasons for the undercard games i have seen in years. I most recently wrote about the Texas A&M/Georgia independence Bowl game and that certainly has not disappointed viewers. I must note that I am now 6-2 ATS in 2009 Bowl games and coming off a 13-1 ATS 2008 Bowl campaign. Combined that is a rock solid 19-3 ATS for 86% ATS winners and the strongest games are yet to come.

Let’s first take a look at some of the technical factors supporting each team. if you like SC then you will love this system that has gone 36-19 ATS for a solid 65.5% winners since 2004. Play against dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after covering the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games. UCONN certainly qualifies as they have won all but 2 games ATS this season. They started off winning the first 7 ATS and won 3 of the last 5 to post a 10-2 ATS season mark. HC Spurrier is a solid 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game in all games he has coached since 1992; 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a 2 game home stand in all games he has coached since 1992.

For those of you who like the SC and the money line here is a tremendous system that has gone 28-3 for 90% winners since 1992. Play on neutral field favorites versus the money line after dominating the time of possession last game posting a mark >36 minutes. Not too bad laying -200 on the money line. If you are really into betting college football and are looking for a great deal, right now you can get a $500 match bonus from BetUS with a new account and deposit of $500 or more!

BUT, here are some angles supporting UCONN players. Note that UCONN is a solid 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog this season. SC is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. HC Edsall is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest as the coach of UCONN.

A key match up that I will enjoy watching and one that you will to is between SC WR Jeffery and UCONN CB McClain. Jeffery is a freshman and the experienced McClain will do everything he can to press him at the LOS and get him off the proper timing of his routes. McClain is excellent at reaction to cuts and to the ball. Jeffery will have a huge edge in height by 6 inches and size weighing in a 217. Fade routes will be a preferred opportunity for SC in the red zone if they get man coverage. Jeffery has become one of QB Garcia’s favorite targets, but McClain may be able to shut him down and minimize his game impact.

These are useful facts, but how do you decide which way to go? Well, I have developed an Artificial Intelligence based neural network that performs simulations based on 16+ seasons of games. It essentially learns from those past games and applies that accumulated experience to the current days card. This is exactly why I went 13-1 ATS in my 7* and higher bowl games last season; winning my Bowl game of the Year on Vanderbilt, and also my BCS Championship game. Join me for the remainder of the CFB Bowls, the NFL season and play-offs, the NBA, College Hoops, and the NHL and I promise you will be glad you did. Good Luck and Happy New Year.

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