USC vs Arizona State Odds
Written November 6, 2009 by Jordan Haimowitz
Long live the Trojan warriors. Southern California suffered their worst loss in over a decade last weekend as they got pounded by Oregon 47-20. Matt Barkley was terrible in every which way, his 1,727 passing yards and 9 touchdowns to 6 interceptions this season continue to have me question if this kid has all the tools necessary. He is still a freshman so expect to see progress as the years go on. Joe McKnight has rushed for 712 yards and 7 touchdowns this season with an average of 6.4 yards per carry. Leading receiver Damian Williams has caught 43 passes for 607 yards this season but has only 4 touchdowns. Now, onto this USC defense that has been so poor it has me bewildered. Over their last three games they have allowed 37 points per game while surrendering an unreal 487 yards against, that is just a number you would never expect to hear under a Pete Carroll coached team. I rarely single out specific defensive players as x-factors but in this particular game I will do just that and call Taylor Mays the guy that must show up. He is not only the most talented defensive player they have but Mays also is the emotional leader of the bunch. If they think they’ll walk into the Sun Devils stadium and grab an easy win, they are sadly mistaken. However, if Southern California comes to play by executing plays and not missing assignments on defense, I expect them to be just fine. Look for Joe McKnight to be featured on the offensive side of the ball in both the passing and running game. Our current NCAA football lines show the Trojans favored by 10 points with a total set for 45.5 points.
The Arizona State Sun Devils are 4-4 this season and have run into a minor two game slide. They got smashed at Stanford 33-14 and then last weekend fell short 23-21 in a home game vs. California. Quarterback Danny Sullivan has thrown for 1,658 yards with a poor touchdown/interception ratio of 8 to 7. This could be a real bad game for him as he goes up against an angry Trojan secondary who will be aiming for a blowout. The main worry head coach Dennis Erickson will have is whether or not his running back Dimitri Nance can go. He currently is listed questionable with a shoulder injury. Nance has rushed for 472 yards with 5 touchdowns this season. The wide receiver duo of Kyle Williams and Chris McGaha will be counted on to make big plays tonight. Williams has caught 37 passes for 488 yards and 3 touchdowns while McGaha has caught 39 passes for 478 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively the Sun Devils are very good. They allow 19 points per game and allow 296 yards of total offense per as well which is better then USC’s defensive numbers. The x-factor here tonight will be the efficiency, or lack their of, in Arizona State’s running game. The Trojans have been exposed in that area of late and if Nance is healthy enough to go, then Arizona State will have a very good chance of pulling off this home upset. You can count on Sullivan to be below average from the quarterback position but if Nance and the defense can pick up the slack in other areas, then we could be in for one heck of a game. Get a $500 match bonus from BetUS that you can use to bet on college basketball.
Haimo’s Hot Notes:
USC are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
USC are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Under is 20-8-2 in ARZST last 30 conference games.
Sun Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Sun Devils are 4-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Look for a ton of big offensive plays tonight and for both QB’s to make plenty of crucial mistakes. I do believe that the Trojan offense will be able to move well on a very good Sun Devils defense while I also feel that USC just does not have the mindset on defense right now of a champion. Expect plenty of points, FREE PLAY below. Also make sure to check all my premium plays available as I am coming off a 2-0 Thursday night.
Jordan’s Pick: Over 45.5 Points
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